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Prediction markets for Open University
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
39.58%chance
7634311
OptionVotes
1236
809
Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?
Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5.32%chance
1420948
OptionVotes
1438
927
Will Riot Games release their MMORPG fully or in open beta before the end of 2025?
Oct 21, 5:31 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
1.49%chance
2510527
OptionVotes
9720
328
If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?
Sep 22, 5:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13.02%chance
318436
OptionVotes
1072
965
OptionVotes
1206
926
Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?
May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.16%chance
362883
OptionVotes
1423
839
Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?
Sep 20, 6:54 PMSep 20, 8:59 PM
21.62%chance
211641
OptionVotes
1904
525
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2035?
Apr 1, 2:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
80.77%chance
141387
OptionVotes
1770
666
Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?
Apr 1, 2:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
37.75%chance
141061
OptionVotes
1094
154
Will the civilian death rate from Israeli airstrikes be 60% or higher at the conclusion of the current Palestine war?
Dec 10, 12:20 AMJul 1, 3:59 AM
91%chance
12525
OptionVotes
1265
942
OptionVotes
355
114
Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?
Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
4122
OptionProbability
52
50
50
50
44