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Top stories

UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Open University

Will we find that the dark forest theory of the universe is true?

Mar 25, 3:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.32%chance

1420948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1438

927

If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?

Sep 22, 5:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

318436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

965

Has at least one alien been to Earth?

May 30, 4:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.91%chance

353877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

976

Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?

May 28, 9:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

362918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1388

848

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2028?

Apr 1, 2:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

83.34%chance

221827

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1292

22

Will there be an Antimemetics Division show/movie by late 2029?

Sep 20, 6:54 PMSep 20, 8:59 PM

21.62%chance

211641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1904

525

Will an AI achieve a perfect score on the Miklós Schweitzer Competition before 2035?

Apr 1, 2:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

80.77%chance

141387

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1770

666

Any other soccer league/tournament implements 4 quarters (2 hydration breaks) in the next year?

Jun 16, 1:34 AMJun 16, 1:33 AM

43.57%chance

8740

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

879

One year later, how will Manifold users view the effects of arXiv's separation from Cornell University?

Mar 16, 3:29 PMMar 13, 10:00 PM

11510

OptionProbability

No Change

Mostly Negative

Mostly Positive

56

28

16

Will Universal Studios Great Britain open before 2030?

Feb 5, 5:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12.87%chance

5220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

369

112

Who will read Chicago Open Finals 2026?

Dec 15, 1:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5203

OptionProbability

Young Fenimore Lee (Ohio)

Hazel Singh (NYU)

Mitch McCullar (Penn State)

Iain Carpenter (Illinois)

Jacob O’Rourke (Truman State)

Other

62

22

5

5

3

3

Which of these franchises will be present at Universal Studios Great Britain at opening?

Apr 10, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4122

OptionProbability

James Bond

Lord of the Rings

Back to the Future

Paddington

Harry Potter

52

50

50

50

44

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 20, 2025
Aug 20, 2025
Britain
Space
Science
UK Government Absorbs Space Agency Into Science Department to Cut Costs
Authors
5
1 year ago

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