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Top stories

Medtronic Adds Two Directors, Lifts Forecast After Elliott Becomes Top Investor

Company Earnings

Medtronic Adds Two Directors, Lifts Forecast After Elliott Becomes Top Investor

Authors

13

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Operating

By when will a second Starship / Super Heavy launch tower be operational?

Jun 10, 1:50 PMJul 2, 5:59 AM

50235659

OptionProbability

Flight 15

Flight 12

2024-09-01

2025-01-01

2025-07-01

Flight 7

2025-03-01

Flight 10

2026-01-01

Flight 11

2026-04-01

99

98

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

In what year will Tesla's robotaxi become commercially operational in the US?

May 27, 4:25 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

140175462

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

2024

2025

70

14

4

3

3

3

1

1

Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?

Feb 2, 2:06 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

43.54%chance

218117028

OptionVotes

NO

YES

12490

3787

Will there be an electric* passenger airliner in commercial operation before 2028?

Jul 27, 3:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.18%chance

8611268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1816

965

Will the UK HS2 rail line between London and Birmingham be operational before 2031?

Feb 16, 9:15 AMJan 1, 12:00 AM

5.26%chance

2411233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11928

1118

Will a space hotel be operational before 2035?

Nov 7, 8:23 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.07%chance

9510712

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2222

1191

Will China launch a military operation against Taiwan in 2026?

Feb 3, 7:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.9%chance

499618

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3016

332

Will MNX still be operating at EOY 2026?

Feb 18, 8:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92.46%chance

468667

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3076

79

Will the US Government conduct military operations against 8 or more countries in 2026?

Jan 3, 7:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.23%chance

304131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1311

763

Will Platreef Shaft #3 have achieved operational ore hoisting by

Apr 7, 1:26 PMDec 31, 5:00 AM

63.14%chance

34092

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14090

6464

If AI wipes out humanity by 2030, will Manifold Markets be operational?

Jun 22, 3:16 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

52.83%chance

181437

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1093

868

When will Queenslink be operational?

Nov 6, 5:00 AMJan 2, 4:46 AM

00

OptionProbability

2028-2031

2032-2035

2036-2039

2039-2042

Later than 2042 or never

20

20

20

20

20

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
Company Earnings
Business
Medtronic Adds Two Directors, Lifts Forecast After Elliott Becomes Top Investor
Authors
13
9 months ago

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