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Prediction markets for Oracle
Will a religion that has some AI as its god, oracle or priest have at least 1 million churchgoers before 2051?
Dec 16, 9:59 AMJan 1, 3:59 AM
73.3%chance
12447506
OptionVotes
1110
63
Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?
Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
13.02%chance
7532370
OptionVotes
25533
3383
Which company will buy TikTok? (resolves only if/when divested from China)
Mar 6, 9:27 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
20317278
OptionProbability
37
13
8
8
5
5
3
3
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
99
99
91
87
84
82
82
58
52
46
43
42
40
34
25
20
17
7
6
OptionProbability
91
89
74
72
70
70
68
65
64
63
63
63
63
61
60
60
59
54
50
50
50
43
41
40
40
40
40
36
32
32
32
30
If US Real GDP reaches 130% of prior years by 2035, which of these stocks will have the highest total return?
Nov 3, 5:53 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM
104393
OptionProbability
22
12
11
9
7
6
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
3
Will Oracle lose the JavaScript trademark by the end of 2026?
Sep 16, 8:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.29%chance
154253
OptionVotes
1448
691
OptionProbability
73
9
8
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
59
15
6
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
OptionProbability
94
2
2
1
1
AGREE or DISAGREE: Prediction markets need oracles that aren’t mainstream media
Dec 15, 1:30 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM
45%chance
7326
OptionVotes
1106
905
Will Safra Catz (CEO of Oracle Corporation) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
Apr 8, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.81%chance
6180
OptionVotes
228
73
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