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Top stories

Apollo Hospitals MD Suneeta Reddy Sells 1.3% Stake Worth ₹1,489 Crore at ₹7,850 Per Share in Debt Reduction Move

Apollo Hospitals MD Suneeta Reddy Sells 1.3% Stake Worth ₹1,489 Crore at ₹7,850 Per Share in Debt Reduction Move

Authors

3

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Papers

Will AI be capable of producing an Annals-quality math paper for $100k by March 2030?

Mar 11, 6:21 AMMar 18, 6:59 AM

55%chance

179214523

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6120

2975

Will the "First Room-Temperature Ambient-Pressure Superconductor" paper be retracted (by 2025)?

Jul 26, 2:17 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM

2.56%chance

143101879

OptionVotes

YES

NO

38463

440

Is the "100% effective against solid tumors" cancer pill AOH1996 paper legit? [see description]

Aug 2, 10:37 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

47789897

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7410

4932

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?

Mar 5, 8:31 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

29.43%chance

806996

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1905

448

Will any country stop using paper currency by end 2029?

Sep 9, 9:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

28.09%chance

422838

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1140

926

Solution or major advances to P=NP with AI help, paper available by mid 2037

Dec 22, 7:04 PMJun 30, 6:59 AM

46.38%chance

161699

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

930

Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?

Mar 1, 2:31 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.55%chance

201635

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1760

267

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?

Mar 5, 8:31 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

59.72%chance

31917

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1081

822

If OpenAI makes a transformer sized advancement in the next 5 years, will they publish an accompanying paper?

Nov 29, 12:12 AMDec 6, 7:59 AM

44.58%chance

20888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1075

927

Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?

Mar 5, 8:32 PMDec 31, 6:29 AM

65.12%chance

28746

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1092

763

Will there be an academic paper written on the total effect of microplastics on human IQ loss by 2026? (in the same way there are papers written on organophosphate pesticides and air pollution on human IQ loss)?

Jan 7, 7:22 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.98%chance

13533

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

481

Will "Notes on the Long Tasks METR paper, from a HC..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

May 22, 4:07 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Latest stories

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
India
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Apollo Hospitals MD Suneeta Reddy Sells 1.3% Stake Worth ₹1,489 Crore at ₹7,850 Per Share in Debt Reduction Move
Authors
3
13 days ago

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