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Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]
Jul 19, 2:27 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM
16.51%chance
22091557
OptionVotes
22634
4163
OptionProbability
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
100
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100
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100
100
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100
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100
80
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80
77
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73
72
70
66
64
63
62
62
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60
56
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50
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47
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35
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34
31
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28
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25
25
25
25
25
24
24
22
22
15
10
5
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
If any UFOs are highly advanced technology, are they of non-human origin?
Sep 22, 5:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
13.02%chance
318436
OptionVotes
1072
965
Will the BLS show growth in software engineer employment through 2029?
May 7, 5:45 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
41.49%chance
355985
OptionVotes
1315
990
Which of the following will be true about the rumored “Claude Mythos”?
Mar 27, 4:39 AMJan 1, 5:29 AM
493870
OptionProbability
100
100
40
0
0
0
0
Which three cause areas will get the most EA funding before 2030?
Jan 13, 8:26 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM
262359
OptionProbability
38
34
31
26
24
21
20
19
18
14
12
10
9
9
9
8
7
6
Which theorems will be officially formally proven in Lean by the end of 2028?
Apr 13, 8:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
311350
OptionProbability
95
95
94
92
87
73
71
63
62
57
42
26
26
23
15
13
9
8
OptionVotes
1139
910
Will the BLS show growth in delivery truck driver employment through 2029?
May 7, 9:29 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM
33.16%chance
13890
OptionVotes
1336
767
Can we productively coordinate with people in parallel universes?
Mar 26, 12:42 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
13.26%chance
16818
OptionVotes
1585
866
Will the next presidential election in Venezuela be free and fair?
Jan 17, 12:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
35%chance
10601
OptionVotes
1137
918
Will OpenAI publicly state that they know how to safely align a superintelligence before 2030?
Nov 3, 11:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
21.38%chance
12254
OptionVotes
1011
889
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