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Prediction markets for Paris
Will university fusion continue in Paris until only 1 huge one remain? (Before Nov. 2027)
Nov 6, 9:48 PMNov 1, 10:59 PM
6.62%chance
8895
OptionVotes
382
78
Ramzan Kadyrov visits and publicly appears in London, Paris, Berlin, New York or Washington DC before 2032
May 11, 7:15 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM
7.78%chance
10652
OptionVotes
1602
997
Will Paris be the hub of AI in Europe by the end of 2027?
Oct 27, 2:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
39.81%chance
21595
OptionVotes
233
191
OptionVotes
147
68
OptionVotes
166
60
Will "The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Feb 13, 5:05 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
11%chance
6184
OptionVotes
127
96
OptionVotes
125
80
Average price per m² for old apartments in Paris by end of December 2027
Aug 2, 5:26 PMAug 1, 9:59 PM
366
OptionProbability
37
11
11
11
11
10
8
OptionVotes
140
71
Global warming will increase by at least 2.5° in 2050 and crushing the Paris Agreement.
Feb 20, 7:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
57.84%chance
634
OptionVotes
161
141
Which of these countries will ratify the Paris Agreement before 2030?
Jan 3, 9:17 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM
226
OptionProbability
43
43
37
Will a commercial non-stop flight between Paris and Bali exist before the end of 2027?
Nov 4, 4:11 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
40.98%chance
110
OptionVotes
60
42