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Top stories

China Politburo Tightens Ideological Rules, Mulls Ethnic Unity Law

Natural Disasters

China Politburo Tightens Ideological Rules, Mulls Ethnic Unity Law

Authors

6

8 months ago

Xi Urges Deeper Enforcement of CPC Eight-Point Conduct Rules

Xi Urges Deeper Enforcement of CPC Eight-Point Conduct Rules

Authors

4

8 months ago

Prediction markets for Party

What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms

Dec 12, 2:00 PMNov 15, 4:59 AM

170258647

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

90

10

Which political party wins the US presidency in 2028?

Nov 8, 6:22 AMNov 10, 7:59 AM

183129955

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other Party

59

40

1

Who will be the two major party nominees of the 2028 United States Presidential Election? (resolves 50% each)

Aug 13, 7:26 PMAug 26, 10:59 PM

205104681

OptionProbability

Other

JD Vance (Vice President)

Gavin Newsom (California Governor)

Marco Rubio (Secretary of State)

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (New York Congresswoman)

Kamala Harris (Vice President)

Pete Buttigieg (Biden Secretary of Transportation)

Donald J. Trump (45th & 47th President)

Jon Ossoff (Georgia Senator)

Ron Desantis (Florida Governor)

Gretchen Whitmer (Michigan Governor)

Josh Shapiro (Pennsylvania Governor)

Andy Beshear (Kentucky Governor)

Donald Trump Jr.

Greg Abbot (Texas Governor)

Mark Kelly (Arizona Senator)

Mike Johnson (Speaker of the House)

Ro Khanna (California Congressman)

Tim Walz (Minnesota Governor)

Nikki Haley (South Carolina Governor)

Michelle Obama (First Lady)

Glenn Youngkin (Virginia Governor)

Mark Cuban

Wes Moore (Maryland Governor)

Roy Cooper (North Carolina Governor)

John Fetterman (Pennsylvania Senator)

26

20

13

13

6

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Which party will win the popular vote in the 2028 Presidential election?

Nov 5, 9:50 PMOct 31, 10:59 PM

1826081

OptionProbability

The Democratic Party

The Republican Party

75

25

Which party wins 2028 election?

Aug 1, 7:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7424016

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

59

41

Will the Democratic Party Nominee for 2028 be a woman?

Dec 29, 11:52 AMNov 1, 11:59 PM

23.15%chance

6712847

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1485

787

What will be the party of the next President of the United States?

Oct 15, 6:37 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

246721

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

Other

58

41

1

Georgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?

Apr 10, 5:57 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

256540

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

62

38

0

Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?

Feb 6, 3:39 AMNov 13, 1:59 PM

536308

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

58

41

1

The winner of the 2028 U.S. presidential election will be the nominee of which party?

Mar 16, 3:17 PMJan 7, 12:00 AM

252034

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Libertarian Party

Green Party

Independent Candidate/Write-in

Other

58

42

0

0

0

0

Regardless of elections, will actual control of the White House switch parties in January 2029?

Jul 20, 8:28 PMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

53.96%chance

151698

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10382

9514

What will be the national vote share, by party, in the City Mayor and Country Magistrate elections in Taiwan in 2026?

Dec 23, 3:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

DPP

KMT

TPP

Independents

Other

20

20

20

20

20

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