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Top stories

Pew Poll Finds Majority Backs Mail-In Voting Despite Trump Opposition

Executive Orders

Pew Poll Finds Majority Backs Mail-In Voting Despite Trump Opposition

Authors

16

10 months ago

Pew Finds Record 14 M Unauthorized Migrants, First Overall U.S. Decline Since 1960s

US Domestic Policy

Pew Finds Record 14 M Unauthorized Migrants, First Overall U.S. Decline Since 1960s

Authors

32

10 months ago

Trump Approval Hits Second-Term Low With 37% Gallup Rating, 29% Among Independents, Rising Disapproval Across US

US Domestic Policy

Trump Approval Hits Second-Term Low With 37% Gallup Rating, 29% Among Independents, Rising Disapproval Across US

Authors

14

10 months ago

Vance Promotes Trump Tax-Spending Law at Wisconsin Steel Plant

Authors

15

10 months ago

US Domestic Policy

Bannon Presses GOP to Sell Trump’s ‘Big Beautiful Bill’ Amid Weak Polls

Authors

6

10 months ago

Pew Survey Finds Public Values Journalists yet Sees Their Influence Waning

Authors

5

10 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Pew Poll Finds Republican Backing for Ukraine Rises Before Trump-Putin Talks

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Pew Research Center

Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?

Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM

19.29%chance

555029

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2015

243

Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?

Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.66%chance

241443

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

896

What share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?

Jun 10, 11:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41215

OptionProbability

80% to 90%

60% to 70%

70% to 80%

90% or more

50% to 60%

40% to 50%

Less than 40%

34

21

17

15

9

3

2

By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?

Mar 4, 1:55 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM

9513

OptionProbability

not by 2030

by 2030

by 2028

by 2026

72

28

17

7

Will pet ownership decline in the US from 2023 to 2025-2026?

May 3, 12:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.23%chance

4218

OptionVotes

YES

NO

314

32

Will MAGA represent more than 20% of the electorate after January 2029?

Mar 13, 10:36 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

24.75%chance

5103

OptionVotes

YES

NO

174

57

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Feb 12, 2:05 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

71.97%chance

598

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

96

Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?

Dec 21, 7:44 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

32.2%chance

497

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

102

In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?

Feb 12, 2:03 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM

22.48%chance

355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

63

What share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?

Jun 10, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

144

OptionProbability

90% or more

80% to 90%

Less than 40%

40% to 50%

50% to 60%

60% to 70%

70% to 80%

22

15

13

13

13

13

13

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