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Prediction markets for Pew Research Center
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
Apr 13, 8:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 AM
38.29%chance
462486
OptionVotes
1464
458
Will a romantic relationship with an AI chatbot comprise 25% of all relationships within the USA before the year 2030?
Aug 28, 10:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
11.66%chance
241443
OptionVotes
1414
896
By what year will 30% of Republicans say global climate change is a major threat to the US?
Mar 4, 1:55 AMMar 2, 4:59 AM
9513
OptionProbability
72
28
17
7
Will pet ownership decline in the US from 2023 to 2025-2026?
May 3, 12:09 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
9.23%chance
4218
OptionVotes
314
32
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Republicans will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
Feb 12, 2:05 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
71.97%chance
598
OptionVotes
125
96
Conditional on Nevada voting No on Question 3 in 2024, what will turnout be in their next primary elections?
Dec 21, 7:44 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM
32.2%chance
497
OptionVotes
105
102
In 2025-26, what percentage of US Democrats will prioritize increased security along the US-Mexico border?
Feb 12, 2:03 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
22.48%chance
355
OptionVotes
145
63