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Prediction markets for Pioneers
By the end of 2026, will we have transparency into any useful internal pattern within a Large Language Model whose semantics would have been unfamiliar to AI and cognitive science in 2006?
Sep 30, 5:54 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM
19.85%chance
796429524
OptionVotes
34977
14290
OptionVotes
1798
76
OptionVotes
1400
143
Will another country follow El Salvador in adopting Bitcoin as legal tender by the end of 2025?
May 13, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
64.82%chance
15960
OptionVotes
1303
788
OptionVotes
602
101
OptionVotes
693
97
OptionProbability
70
70
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