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Top stories

Philippine Coast Guard Ships Harassed by Chinese Vessel 5304 as PLA Conducts 33 Sorties Near Taiwan; Chinese Coast Guard Vessels Enter Kinmen Waters

Philippine Coast Guard Ships Harassed by Chinese Vessel 5304 as PLA Conducts 33 Sorties Near Taiwan; Chinese Coast Guard Vessels Enter Kinmen Waters

Authors

6

5 months ago

China Unveils FK-3000 Anti-Drone System with 96 Micro Missiles, HQ-29 Missile, Microwave Weapons, and Hosts Drone Events

China Unveils FK-3000 Anti-Drone System with 96 Micro Missiles, HQ-29 Missile, Microwave Weapons, and Hosts Drone Events

Authors

7

5 months ago

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Xi Purges Fifth of PLA Generals Before Beijing Weapons Parade

Authors

13

5 months ago

Prediction markets for PLA

Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by EOY 2028?

Feb 13, 4:17 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

46.54%chance

20751811961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4650

4052

(Playoffs) NFL 2025 Mega-Market: All Games / TV Guide

Oct 27, 6:31 PMFeb 13, 4:59 AM

1701557272

OptionProbability

Rams beat Panthers (01/10) 4:30 PM (NFL+)

Bills beat Jaguars (01/11) 1:00 PM (TBD)

49ers beat Eagles (01/11) 4:30 PM (TBD)

Texans beat Steelers (01/12) 8:15 PM (TBD)

Rams beat Bears (01/18) 6:30 PM (NBC)

New England Patriots beat Denver Broncos (01/25) 3:00 PM (TBD)

Seattle Seahawks beat New England Patriots (02/08) 6:30 PM (TBD)

Packers beat Bears (01/10) 8:00 PM (TBD)

Chargers beat Patriots (01/11) 8:15 PM (TBD)

Bills beat Broncos (01/17) 4:30 PM (CBS)

49ers beat Seahawks (01/17) 8:00PM (FOX)

Texans beat Patriots (01/18) 3:00 PM (ESPN/ABC)

LA Rams beat Seattle Seahawks (01/25) 6:30 PM (TBD)

100

100

100

100

100

100

69

0

0

0

0

0

0

In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?

Feb 20, 10:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.47%chance

493409147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2991

2170

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.75%chance

85132278

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2814

887

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

8.51%chance

7431502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32786

3050

Graham Platner and James Talarico both win their primaries? Limit order up!

Jan 4, 1:24 AMMar 3, 11:59 PM

52%chance

2125290

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1111

881

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

53.06%chance

231747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10631

9406

People's Liberation Army (PLA) stock

Apr 13, 9:22 AMApr 14, 3:59 AM

15767

OptionProbability

NO

YES

267

216

Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?

Nov 7, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

58.75%chance

354

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

75

Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?

Nov 7, 4:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

51.55%chance

753

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

79

Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2028?

Nov 7, 4:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?

Nov 7, 4:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

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