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Prediction markets for Planning Department
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
59.06%chance
9213274
OptionVotes
1201
833
Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?
Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
35.06%chance
224861
OptionVotes
1361
735
Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
29.77%chance
363321
OptionVotes
1536
651
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.2%chance
323242
OptionVotes
3345
299
OptionVotes
1126
888
Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?
Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.33%chance
202069
OptionVotes
1516
660
OptionVotes
2360
424
OptionVotes
1081
943
OptionVotes
1031
884
OptionVotes
1168
856
Will Florida PALM go live as scheduled on January 11, 2027?
May 30, 2:07 AMJan 11, 11:59 PM
40.98%chance
1200
OptionVotes
1200
833
Will Microsoft close or divest itself of Rare in 2026?
Jun 15, 7:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28.26%chance
10174
OptionVotes
104
88
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