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Prediction markets for Planning Department
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
59.06%chance
9213274
OptionVotes
1201
833
Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?
Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
28.72%chance
224761
OptionVotes
1575
635
Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
29.77%chance
363321
OptionVotes
1536
651
OptionVotes
1126
888
Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?
Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
30.33%chance
202069
OptionVotes
1516
660
China will directly engage in a military conflict before end of 2026
Mar 11, 12:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
16.4%chance
252024
OptionVotes
2258
443
OptionVotes
2121
472
OptionVotes
1081
943
OptionVotes
1063
784
OptionVotes
1168
856
What will be the initial capitalization of the US national strategic crypto reserve?
Mar 3, 3:11 PMJan 22, 7:59 AM
6256
OptionProbability
48
18
14
9
5
5
OptionProbability
63
18
15
4
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