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Prediction markets for Planning Department
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
43%chance
8712384
OptionVotes
1151
869
Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?
Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 1, 5:00 PM
3.68%chance
274982
OptionVotes
2614
691
Will Donald Trump's face appear on US currency before December 2028?
Feb 11, 6:35 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM
11.77%chance
194414
OptionVotes
2738
365
Will transgender people be denied US passports on the basis of trans status by the end of the 2nd Trump administration?
Feb 16, 5:10 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM
23.53%chance
353216
OptionVotes
1803
555
OptionVotes
1152
803
OptionVotes
1378
726
Will Columbia University be a going concern on January 20th, 2029?
Apr 13, 2:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM
88.89%chance
8431
OptionVotes
283
35
Will the U.S. close at least 10 embassies in Africa before October 16, 2025?
Apr 21, 8:12 AMOct 16, 11:59 PM
5.13%chance
8360
OptionVotes
430
23
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
OptionVotes
1068
937
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