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Prediction markets for Plasma
OptionProbability
26
15
13
7
6
6
4
3
3
3
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
Jan 7, 8:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
98.48%chance
13934221
OptionVotes
5426
47
OptionVotes
2375
1572
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated offensively by 2040?
Jul 5, 12:12 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
33.68%chance
428190
OptionVotes
1108
587
OptionVotes
1205
869
Conditional on my RSI improving before 2030, what will the main reason be?
Aug 18, 9:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
221119
OptionProbability
27
15
13
11
10
8
7
5
1
1
1
1
0
Will a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Dec 8, 1:43 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
58.4%chance
191007
OptionVotes
1162
675
OptionProbability
77
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
190
163
By Dec 31, 2035, will any nuclear fusion power plant have delivered at least 100 MW of net electrical power, 30 day ave.
Oct 3, 11:21 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
10.57%chance
5333
OptionVotes
10062
9455
If Pierbattista Pizzaballa is elected pope, will @PlasmaBallin rename himself Pizza Ballin'?
Apr 27, 12:41 PMDec 31, 1:38 PM
23.51%chance
8253
OptionVotes
180
55
Prime editor engineered virus-like particles (PE-eVLPs) to get human cells to generate ANY plasma protein exists by 2028
Jul 29, 11:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
52.36%chance
15
OptionVotes
105
95
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