PLO News

US Denies Visas for Abbas and Palestinian Delegation Ahead of UN Assembly

1 year ago

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

57.32%chance

18677710

OptionVotes

YES

2440

1502

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

23029119

OptionProbability

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

Israel

Hamas

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

Territorial rule by tribal clans

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Turkey

Will GTA6 have anyone commit suicide in its plot?

Oct 24, 8:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70%chance

1220474

OptionVotes

YES

153

After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 10, 11:59 AMNov 9, 11:59 PM

212074

OptionProbability

Hamas

Israel

International Peacekeeping Force (Western at least one other block)

PLO

Arab-Only Peacekeeping Force

United States of America

Other

African-Only Peacekeeping Force

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 2:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.71%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

864

Will AI interpretability techniques reveal an AI to have been plotting to take over the world before 2028?

Aug 12, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.41%chance

23689

OptionVotes

YES

1171

949

A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?

Sep 12, 10:50 PMDec 24, 9:59 PM

22%chance

7103

OptionVotes

YES

188

Will at least one of William Eden's kids be part of "the plot" and uplift humanity out of NPC-dom by 2035?

Sep 21, 8:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.59%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

190

Will generative.ink be used to guide the plotline of a future video game like Watchdogs or Deus Ex 5?

Sep 22, 5:38 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.42%chance

240

OptionVotes

YES

112

Will "How to game the METR plot" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 20, 10:45 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Apr 8, 4:43 AMApr 16, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

130

111

Will the Kentish plover, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2050?

Nov 2, 3:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

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US Denies Visas for Abbas and Palestinian Delegation Ahead of UN Assembly
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By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will GTA6 have anyone commit suicide in its plot?

After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Will AI interpretability techniques reveal an AI to have been plotting to take over the world before 2028?

A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?

Will at least one of William Eden's kids be part of "the plot" and uplift humanity out of NPC-dom by 2035?

Will generative.ink be used to guide the plotline of a future video game like Watchdogs or Deus Ex 5?

Will "How to game the METR plot" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Will the Kentish plover, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2050?

Latest stories

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