PLO News

US Denies Visas for Abbas and Palestinian Delegation Ahead of UN Assembly

7 months ago

By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

Dec 2, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.56%chance

18677553

OptionVotes

YES

2497

1461

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

22828707

OptionProbability

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

Israel

Hamas

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Territorial rule by tribal clans

Turkey

Will GTA6 have anyone commit suicide in its plot?

Oct 24, 8:30 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

70%chance

1220474

OptionVotes

YES

153

After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 10, 11:59 AMNov 9, 11:59 PM

202071

OptionProbability

Hamas

Israel

PLO

International Peacekeeping Force (Western at least one other block)

Arab-Only Peacekeeping Force

United States of America

Other

African-Only Peacekeeping Force

Will AI interpretability techniques reveal an AI to have been plotting to take over the world before 2028?

Aug 12, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

13.41%chance

23689

OptionVotes

YES

1171

949

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Mar 29, 2:45 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.44%chance

10671

OptionVotes

YES

604

Will "Murder plots are infohazards" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 14, 5:48 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

5.5%chance

4142

OptionVotes

YES

242

Will at least one of the pardoned January 6 rioters be involved in a domestic terrorism plot or incident before 2029?

Jan 22, 6:29 PMJan 30, 4:59 AM

66.1%chance

8104

OptionVotes

YES

335

274

A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?

Sep 12, 10:50 PMDec 24, 9:59 PM

22%chance

7103

OptionVotes

YES

188

Will at least one of William Eden's kids be part of "the plot" and uplift humanity out of NPC-dom by 2035?

Sep 21, 8:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.59%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

190

Will "How to game the METR plot" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Dec 20, 10:45 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14%chance

122

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Apr 8, 4:43 AMApr 16, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

130

111

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US Denies Visas for Abbas and Palestinian Delegation Ahead of UN Assembly
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By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will GTA6 have anyone commit suicide in its plot?

After 18 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will AI interpretability techniques reveal an AI to have been plotting to take over the world before 2028?

Will Neal Stephenson publish a novel in which AI is a crucial plot element by the end of 2026?

Will "Murder plots are infohazards" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will at least one of the pardoned January 6 rioters be involved in a domestic terrorism plot or incident before 2029?

A significant theme or plot point in the next James Bond movie will be stochastic terrorism?

Will at least one of William Eden's kids be part of "the plot" and uplift humanity out of NPC-dom by 2035?

Will "How to game the METR plot" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Latest stories

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