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Prediction markets for Plus Me Limited
Superhuman mathematical problem solving before 2030, assuming no AGI yet?
Apr 18, 9:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
90.41%chance
198384813
OptionVotes
155442
22908
If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?
Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM
15.73%chance
16740693
OptionVotes
24642
5236
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2030?
Jun 2, 5:05 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
50.21%chance
171805
OptionVotes
1004
996
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2032?
May 20, 5:26 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
50.41%chance
12820
OptionVotes
1008
992
OptionVotes
665
113
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2035?
May 17, 1:38 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
64.73%chance
10694
OptionVotes
1355
738
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2031?
May 21, 10:16 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
51.23%chance
9684
OptionVotes
1025
976
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2033?
May 18, 12:47 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM
55.87%chance
11605
OptionVotes
1125
889
Kindle+LLM+audio readout combination product is available from Amazon by mid 2027
Dec 16, 5:23 PMJul 1, 5:59 AM
38.86%chance
18462
OptionVotes
1113
1016
Will it be possible to significantly slow atherosclerosis before 2036?
Jun 15, 11:37 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM
70.02%chance
7446
OptionVotes
153
65
OptionVotes
317
32
Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?
Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
48.12%chance
4157
OptionVotes
1091
1011
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