Policy Board News

1 year ago

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

YES

1142

876

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

6.51%chance

194040

OptionVotes

YES

3792

264

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Jan 12, 2:12 AMJan 12, 2:11 AM

3.53%chance

513503

OptionVotes

YES

523

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Nov 15, 11:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

81146

OptionProbability

Other

Paula Tkac

Cheryl Venable

Kartik Athreya

Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?

Aug 8, 4:13 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

12.28%chance

11349

OptionVotes

YES

267

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Sep 15, 4:23 AMJan 31, 4:21 AM

5343

OptionProbability

End of 2026

End of November

End of October

End of September

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.73%chance

3107

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?

Jul 14, 11:03 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

27.84%chance

798

OptionVotes

YES

161

⛹️🧑‍🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)

Mar 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

115

OptionProbability

Arizona State

UPenn

UCLA

University of Oregon

Yale

Will Soros's Open Society Foundations be defunct and cease to exist before 2031?

Oct 12, 9:50 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

9.99%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

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Prediction markets for Policy Board

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Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

WIll Jerome Powell formally be indicted?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?

⛹️🧑‍🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)

Will Soros's Open Society Foundations be defunct and cease to exist before 2031?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

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