Policy Board News

1 year ago

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.9%chance

3616852

OptionVotes

YES

2577

389

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

56.6%chance

9413352

OptionVotes

YES

1142

876

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

9.68%chance

183276

OptionVotes

YES

3056

327

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

Fed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]

Jun 28, 11:54 PMDec 10, 6:59 AM

211369

OptionProbability

September Meeting

October Meeting

July Meeting

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Nov 15, 11:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71145

OptionProbability

Other

Paula Tkac

Cheryl Venable

Kartik Athreya

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?

May 16, 6:06 AMNov 3, 3:25 AM

2353

OptionProbability

No change

Increase

Decrease

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Sep 15, 4:23 AMJan 31, 4:21 AM

5342

OptionProbability

End of 2026

End of November

End of October

End of September

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?

Aug 8, 4:13 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM

26.34%chance

9249

OptionVotes

YES

167

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?

Jul 14, 11:03 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM

27.84%chance

798

OptionVotes

YES

161

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Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Fed rate hike by...? [Polymarket]

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram