Policy Board News

3 months ago

Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

52.48%chance

8912775

OptionVotes

YES

1051

952

Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?

Apr 25, 11:04 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

122483

OptionProbability

Kevin Hassett

Kevin Warsh

Someone else

Judy Shelton

Arthur Laffer

Larry Kudlow

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Nov 8, 8:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

46.15%chance

3192

OptionVotes

YES

1080

926

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

48.21%chance

2106

OptionVotes

YES

104

Will the Netherlands contribute €180 million to the Global Fund during the 2023-2025 period, as pledged in 2022?

Jan 2, 8:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.13%chance

679

OptionVotes

YES

371

324

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Nov 15, 11:31 PMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

162

OptionProbability

Cheryl Venable

Paula Tkac

Other

Kartik Athreya

Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?

Jun 19, 8:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.13%chance

333

OptionVotes

YES

104

⛹️🧑‍🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)

Mar 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

115

OptionProbability

Arizona State

UPenn

UCLA

University of Oregon

Yale

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Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?

Who will be the next chairman of the federal reserve board?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will Zohran Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?

Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?

Will the Netherlands contribute €180 million to the Global Fund during the 2023-2025 period, as pledged in 2022?

Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?

Will OpenAI implement any of the reform recommendations from The OpenAI Files by end of 2025?

⛹️🧑‍🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)

Latest stories

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