Policy Board News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Policy Board
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
56.6%chance
9413352
OptionVotes
1142
876
Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM
6.51%chance
194040
OptionVotes
3792
264
OptionVotes
523
19
Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.
Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
76.19%chance
191852
OptionVotes
1010
851
Who will be the next permanent president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta?
Nov 15, 11:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
81146
OptionProbability
84
9
5
2
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
Aug 8, 4:13 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM
12.28%chance
11349
OptionVotes
267
37
OptionProbability
10
6
5
3
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?
Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.73%chance
3107
OptionVotes
103
97
Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?
Jul 14, 11:03 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM
27.84%chance
798
OptionVotes
161
62
⛹️🧑🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)
Mar 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
115
OptionProbability
50
50
41
41
41
Will Soros's Open Society Foundations be defunct and cease to exist before 2031?
Oct 12, 9:50 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM
9.99%chance
110
OptionVotes
110
99