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Prediction markets for Policy Board
OptionVotes
3670
273
Will the US exhibit strong signs of autocracy if Trump wins in 2024?
Aug 28, 4:50 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM
59.06%chance
9213274
OptionVotes
1201
833
Will Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
Jan 12, 1:55 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM
9.68%chance
183276
OptionVotes
3056
327
Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.
Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM
76.19%chance
191852
OptionVotes
1010
851
OptionProbability
60
37
0
OptionProbability
80
16
4
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
Will the mayor of San Diego or Los Angeles be charged with a federal crime for interfering with ICE before 2028?
Dec 18, 10:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
48.21%chance
2106
OptionVotes
104
96
OptionProbability
62
30
7
Will a Top 50 US public school district officially mandate or adopt an AI assistant for core grading by June 2027?
Jul 14, 11:03 AMMay 31, 11:59 PM
27.84%chance
798
OptionVotes
161
62
Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
Aug 8, 4:13 AMJan 5, 11:59 PM
25.71%chance
270
OptionVotes
170
59
⛹️🧑🎓 After Dartmouth, at what colleges will student athletes unionize? (ADD RESPONSES)
Mar 16, 8:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
115
OptionProbability
50
50
41
41
41