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Top stories

China Steps Up Fiscal Support as Politburo Schedules October Plenum

China Steps Up Fiscal Support as Politburo Schedules October Plenum

Authors

7

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Politburo

Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?

Oct 17, 2:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.35%chance

41221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

127

When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:16 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

2119

OptionProbability

2027

2032

2037

2042

2047

33

17

17

17

17

Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:26 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

57.86%chance

499

OptionVotes

NO

YES

95

85

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo flees China through 2027

Sep 19, 3:44 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60%chance

599

OptionVotes

NO

YES

136

88

Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?

Nov 2, 12:23 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

67.41%chance

487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

77

Any current member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

23%chance

466

OptionVotes

YES

NO

154

58

Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?

Mar 27, 3:20 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

47.35%chance

551

OptionVotes

NO

YES

116

102

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2027?

Nov 2, 3:02 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

27.21%chance

551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

63

When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?

Mar 27, 3:12 AMJan 27, 3:59 PM

350

OptionProbability

2032

2037

2042

2047

2027

23

23

23

22

8

Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash

Aug 23, 5:48 PMAug 13, 6:59 AM

32.06%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

71

Will Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh resign or be removed from the Communist Party of Vietnam Politburo before 2026?

Jul 1, 2:44 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

39.31%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

124

80

Will Xi Jinping choose a successor in 2032?

Nov 2, 3:05 PMNov 1, 3:59 PM

65.89%chance

325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

73

Latest stories

Latest stories

Jul 30, 2025
Jul 30, 2025
China
Economics
Real Estate
China Steps Up Fiscal Support as Politburo Schedules October Plenum
Authors
7
3 days ago

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