PREP News

Trump Administration Threatens $81 Million PREP Funding in 46 States Over Gender Ideology, Transgender References With 60-Day Deadline

5 months ago

Will this tweet hold up: I think you guys need to mentally prepare yourselves for Sinners not winning a single thing

Oct 20, 3:48 PMMar 15, 3:36 PM

8.32%chance

227394

OptionVotes

YES

4959

566

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

1919

765

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Dec 10, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71671

OptionProbability

Grover Project w/ Or

[James's system of equations for multichoice mechanism versions](https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/solve-these-equations-for-a-simpler#pcfde0bgc1)

Formalizing "Categorical Composable Cryptography"

SNARK project w/ Sanjam

Data availability phase changes

`nazg`: Proving Ring Equalities Done Wrong

Post-quantum backdoorable VDFs

Iuvenes Project w/ Or

Mechanism design to incentivize `mathlib` contribution

Optimal sampling for statistical democracy w/ Surya

Formal Proof for Marlin w/ Pratyush

Eigenlayer Project w/ Or

NeRF the world

TEE via physics/materials science w/ Sylvain

Krugman's Interstellar trade redux

Solving Hanabi

Automated Market Maker Monte Carlo w/ @EvanDaniel

Quantum cowry shells

range saturation tactic

Mixing for slow traders

Homotopy theory DeFi

Violating classical consensus impossibility results with quantum

Poisson average-case TSP

Efficient polynomial multiplication for mathlib

Paradoxical hiding in ROM

100

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.84%chance

71280

OptionVotes

YES

3612

2144

What will these chonky bois become?

Nov 1, 10:25 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

12825

OptionProbability

Pie

Soup (or stew)

Roasted slices

Roasted seeds

Sauce

Fried sides

Bread

Skewers

Rotten or spoiled

Stir fry

Chunks in a mixed veg bake

Grilled hunks

Muffins

Smashed and ruined, by accident or mischief

Stolen

100

Is the preprint proof of Goldbach's weak conjecture sound?

Oct 28, 3:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

81.17%chance

9215

OptionVotes

YES

245

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

Aug 31, 11:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.16%chance

12212

OptionVotes

YES

237

158

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?

Oct 12, 10:19 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

59.57%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

130

By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?

Jul 11, 4:43 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

63%chance

541

OptionVotes

YES

123

100

How should Tetraspace have prepared for getting COVID?

Sep 5, 11:35 AMApr 29, 10:59 PM

Recommend me a cool preparation for cabbage

Oct 1, 3:57 AM

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Administration Threatens $81 Million PREP Funding in 46 States Over Gender Ideology, Transgender References With 60-Day Deadline
Authors
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5 months ago

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Will this tweet hold up: I think you guys need to mentally prepare yourselves for Sinners not winning a single thing

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

What will these chonky bois become?

Is the preprint proof of Goldbach's weak conjecture sound?

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?

By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?

How should Tetraspace have prepared for getting COVID?

Recommend me a cool preparation for cabbage

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