PREP News

Trump Administration Threatens $81 Million PREP Funding in 46 States Over Gender Ideology, Transgender References With 60-Day Deadline

8 months ago

Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Jun 20, 12:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

161969

OptionVotes

YES

1919

765

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Dec 10, 4:53 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71671

OptionProbability

Grover Project w/ Or

[James's system of equations for multichoice mechanism versions](https://manifold.markets/JamesGrugett/solve-these-equations-for-a-simpler#pcfde0bgc1)

Formalizing "Categorical Composable Cryptography"

SNARK project w/ Sanjam

Data availability phase changes

`nazg`: Proving Ring Equalities Done Wrong

Post-quantum backdoorable VDFs

Iuvenes Project w/ Or

Mechanism design to incentivize `mathlib` contribution

Optimal sampling for statistical democracy w/ Surya

Formal Proof for Marlin w/ Pratyush

Eigenlayer Project w/ Or

NeRF the world

TEE via physics/materials science w/ Sylvain

Krugman's Interstellar trade redux

Solving Hanabi

Automated Market Maker Monte Carlo w/ @EvanDaniel

Quantum cowry shells

range saturation tactic

Mixing for slow traders

Homotopy theory DeFi

Violating classical consensus impossibility results with quantum

Poisson average-case TSP

Efficient polynomial multiplication for mathlib

Paradoxical hiding in ROM

100

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Mar 25, 5:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

171356

OptionVotes

YES

1687

593

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Oct 18, 7:45 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

24.84%chance

71280

OptionVotes

YES

3612

2144

Is the preprint proof of Goldbach's weak conjecture sound?

Oct 28, 3:37 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

81.17%chance

9215

OptionVotes

YES

245

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

Aug 31, 11:30 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.16%chance

12212

OptionVotes

YES

237

158

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?

Oct 12, 10:19 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

59.57%chance

471

OptionVotes

YES

130

Class de 2031 vai ter a maior % de aprovações da história do prep?

Feb 9, 10:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.07%chance

255

OptionVotes

YES

140

By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?

Jul 11, 4:43 PMJul 12, 6:59 AM

63%chance

541

OptionVotes

YES

123

100

Recommend me a cool preparation for cabbage

Oct 1, 3:57 AM

How should Tetraspace have prepared for getting COVID?

Sep 5, 11:35 AMApr 29, 10:59 PM

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Aug 26, 2025
Aug 26, 2025
US Domestic Policy
Politics
Trump Administration Threatens $81 Million PREP Funding in 46 States Over Gender Ideology, Transgender References With 60-Day Deadline
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8 months ago

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Is the preprint suggesting Betelgeuse supernova within decades correct?

Which of these research ideas will I publish or preprint by end of 2026?

Will Elon's Terafab produce a single chip before 2028?

Will the Giro d'Italia's calendar position change before 2030?

Is the preprint proof of Goldbach's weak conjecture sound?

Will there be a high-profile collective lawsuit in the USA over long-term side-effects of a COVID-19 vaccine by 2060?

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?

Class de 2031 vai ter a maior % de aprovações da história do prep?

By 2031, will MIRI still require the services of a CPA or equivalent professional to prepare their 2030 tax form?

Recommend me a cool preparation for cabbage

How should Tetraspace have prepared for getting COVID?

Latest stories

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