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Prediction markets for PRI
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Sep 8, 10:46 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
25.43%chance
815736438
OptionVotes
8979
1108
All Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Sep 8, 11:12 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM
8.05%chance
90210725
OptionVotes
3380
296
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
Mar 14, 9:28 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM
72.97%chance
11781270
OptionVotes
1568
166
Will AGI come from a company whose primary product involves selling a model over an API?
Aug 13, 11:21 AMAug 20, 7:59 PM
67.55%chance
10358928
OptionVotes
144964
69643
Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?
Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM
47.42%chance
2538259
OptionVotes
10722
9307
Will Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
9.94%chance
1131643
OptionVotes
45002
4770
Will Chalco's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 6.4 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
85.58%chance
1721452
OptionVotes
35974
6720
Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
42.62%chance
810267
OptionVotes
11603
8618
Will the price of private education in Japan be cheaper in 5 years?
Apr 2, 10:44 AMJul 1, 2:59 PM
58.14%chance
159781
OptionVotes
11784
8486
Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?
May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM
52.89%chance
69260
OptionVotes
10595
9438
Will Nord Pool 2027 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
51.59%chance
71364
OptionVotes
10323
9687
Will Nord Pool 2028 system price annual average exceed €45/MWh?
May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM
52.22%chance
41124
OptionVotes
10045
9959
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