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🗓️2025 Timeline: Which of these events will happen LAST (or not at all) this year in chronological order? (43 DONE)
Jan 2, 2:40 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
4620019
OptionProbability
98
94
86
86
86
83
81
75
74
72
72
72
71
69
69
69
69
67
66
65
65
64
63
63
63
63
61
61
60
59
59
59
58
57
56
55
55
55
54
54
53
53
52
51
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
49
46
46
45
44
44
43
42
41
40
39
38
37
36
35
34
33
32
31
30
29
28
27
26
25
24
23
22
21
20
19
18
17
16
15
14
13
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
Will Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2025?
Jun 26, 10:42 PMOct 8, 1:59 AM
95.58%chance
9415254
OptionVotes
4938
336
When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?
Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM
3310615
OptionProbability
41
19
11
11
10
4
3
0
Who will be the Prime Minister of Australia at some point in their life?
Mar 27, 3:52 PMSep 9, 2:29 PM
276907
OptionProbability
64
50
45
32
32
28
23
22
22
22
21
21
20
20
20
20
20
19
18
18
16
16
16
16
16
15
15
15
14
13
11
11
11
10
9
8
7
6
6
5
5
5
OptionProbability
72
19
8
1
Will Peter Njeim's Canada PM market get resolved by a mod?
Apr 29, 7:30 PMDec 31, 8:27 PM
1%chance
212218
OptionVotes
995
10
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%chance
311936
OptionVotes
1629
626
Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?
Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM
26.31%chance
241090
OptionVotes
1044
967
Which prime ministers of Australia will Anthony Albanese overtake in terms of time in office?
May 6, 1:54 PMNov 3, 12:43 PM
4855
OptionProbability
100
100
90
85
83
80
77
76
67
67
65
65
46
28
2
Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?
Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
60.61%chance
17461
OptionVotes
1173
596
In the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary Election, who will be running for prime minister?
Mar 9, 1:22 PMApr 30, 9:59 PM
10293
OptionProbability
93
85
76
72
66
50
50
50
50
34
24
24
13
After Modi retires or loses, who will be the next Prime Minister of India?
Oct 23, 3:30 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM
9160
OptionProbability
49
30
22
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