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Prediction markets for Progressive Democrats
Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?
Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM
20.68%chance
122555
OptionVotes
1958
511
US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox?
Jun 11, 2:25 PMDec 31, 3:21 PM
87.98%chance
152342
OptionVotes
2705
370
8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.93%chance
171609
OptionVotes
1023
980
OptionProbability
74
19
5
1
0
0
What type of candidate will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Sep 3, 10:02 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM
16326
OptionProbability
46
32
10
9
3
Who will win a majority in Taiwan's parliament in the 2026 midterm elections?
Jan 23, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2144
OptionProbability
63
14
7
OptionVotes
168
60
Who will Bernie Sanders endorse for president in 2028 dem primary?
Dec 21, 12:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
491
OptionProbability
31
26
21
14
9
OptionProbability
24
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
10
Will new KMT Chair Cheng Li-wun meet in person with Chinese President Xi Jinping before 2028?
Oct 21, 3:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.4%chance
252
OptionVotes
124
81
OptionProbability
67
33
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1
Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
05
OptionProbability
20
17
16
15
13
11
7
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