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Top stories

Sanders and Warren Rally Midwestern Crowds in Progressive Push Toward 2026

Sanders and Warren Rally Midwestern Crowds in Progressive Push Toward 2026

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Progressive Democrats

Will Gavin Newsom be strongly anti-AI before March 2, 2028?

Dec 29, 9:03 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

44.1%chance

133409

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

888

8. AI a central issue in the 2026 U.S. midterms. Politics get complex, especially regarding job oss [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66%chance

262608

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1396

719

US Supreme Court rules for Trump in Trump v. Wilcox?

Jun 11, 2:25 PMDec 31, 3:21 PM

87.58%chance

162443

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2656

376

Who will win the 2026 Dublin Central by-election?

Dec 19, 2:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

92229

OptionProbability

Daniel Ennis (Social Democrats)

Ray McAdam (Fine Gael)

Janice Boylan (Sinn Féin)

Séamas McGrattan (Sinn Féin)

Mary Fitzpatrick (Fianna Fáil)

Gerry Hutch (Independent)

Malachy Steenson (Independent)

Eoghan Ó Ceannabháin (People Before Profit)

Other

99

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

When will Chuck Schumer cease to be Leader of the Senate Democrats?

Dec 28, 5:47 PMJan 30, 11:59 PM

51827

OptionProbability

Before Nov 2028

Before Jul 2028

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Jul 2026

82

80

74

65

24

0

Will the Democratic Nominee in 2028 say “genocide”?

Jun 28, 2:15 PMNov 7, 11:59 PM

35.91%chance

131418

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3919

2329

AOC moves centrist if Dem nominee in 2028?

Nov 29, 5:47 PMNov 11, 11:59 PM

76.78%chance

6305

OptionVotes

NO

YES

182

55

Will Brett Smiley win the 2026 Democratic primary for Mayor of Providence?

Jun 2, 1:54 AMSep 12, 3:59 AM

45.79%chance

4231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

919

Who will win a majority in Taiwan's parliament in the 2026 midterm elections?

Jan 23, 5:09 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6212

OptionProbability

中國國民黨 (Kuomintang, KMT)

民主進步黨 (Democratic Progressive Party, DPP)

台灣民眾黨 (Taiwan People's Party, TPP)

79

14

7

Who will run the Anglosphere at the end of June 2028?

Aug 18, 3:24 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

442

OptionProbability

International Democracy Union

Progressive Alliance

67

33

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

45

28

28

Will any of these progressives be on the Democratic ticket in 2028

Jul 20, 5:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.49%chance

17

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

984

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 24, 2025
Aug 24, 2025
US Elections
Politics
Sanders and Warren Rally Midwestern Crowds in Progressive Push Toward 2026
Authors
3
1 year ago

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