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Prediction markets for PS
In 2040, will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex?
Mar 15, 1:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
53.1%chance
8512884
OptionVotes
1377
1032
Will expert consensus suggest there are strong innate psychological differences by biological sex? (Excluding: sex desire)
Apr 2, 5:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
57.33%chance
438578
OptionVotes
1160
825
[ACX 2026] Will the FDA approve a psilocybin treatment during 2026?
Jan 6, 11:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.94%chance
177909
OptionVotes
8068
4441
Will the Current Spanish Coalition of PSOE+SUMAR Govern Spain Until 2027, Completing a Full 4-Year Term?
Dec 26, 8:59 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
52.71%chance
316725
OptionVotes
1325
493
Gary Marcus prediction: physical reasoning of AI systems will improve before psychological reasoning
Jan 23, 8:50 PMJan 1, 6:00 AM
27.85%chance
363784
OptionVotes
997
978
Will Elon Musk blame psychoactive substance use for past Trump-era statements/actions at any point in his life
Feb 12, 1:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.26%chance
222440
OptionVotes
1483
783
Will California decriminalize psilocybin mushrooms before 2027?
Jan 14, 1:34 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM
30.48%chance
301735
OptionVotes
1613
255
Will a psychedelic substance get de-scheduled by the US by 2030?
Oct 17, 1:32 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
43.7%chance
181006
OptionVotes
1378
363
OptionVotes
1009
991
Will at least 15% of US adults in 2030 have ever used psilocybin/magic mushrooms in their lifetimes?
Jan 29, 3:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70.58%chance
15293
OptionVotes
1048
834
Will Final Fantasy 7 remake trilogy be completed and released for PS by the end of 2027?
May 24, 3:44 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
49.69%chance
6156
OptionVotes
127
83
OptionVotes
184
15