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Prediction markets for Public Investment Fund
10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]
Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.07%chance
347402
OptionVotes
1458
688
OptionVotes
1966
509
OptionVotes
295
34
OptionVotes
275
36
OptionVotes
200
50
OptionVotes
1001
997
Will any tokenized basket or index investment product exceed $1 billion in AUM by the end of 2027?
May 11, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.51%chance
3170
OptionVotes
1072
933
OptionVotes
236
42
Will Mistral AI and/or its investors sue Juan Branco for Defamation in 2026
Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
194
OptionVotes
100
100
Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?
Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM
29.01%chance
669
OptionVotes
242
153
Will Rio Tinto or BHP have approved construction of the Resolution Copper mine as of December 31, 2028?
Nov 6, 4:58 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
32.04%chance
229
OptionVotes
1029
935
Will Science Corp shutdown or be acquired for less than $160m USD before 2034.
Sep 2, 9:14 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
57.37%chance
18
OptionVotes
78
63
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