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Prediction markets for Public Security
Will the Nintendo Switch 2 be hacked within 12 months of its release date?
Feb 3, 2:45 PMJun 4, 10:59 PM
42.46%chance
12437098
OptionVotes
1289
868
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
May 18, 4:27 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
40%chance
7233869
OptionVotes
1225
816
Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027
Feb 7, 11:43 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM
27.83%chance
537639
OptionVotes
1610
621
Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?
Apr 8, 5:24 PMNov 8, 5:00 PM
23%chance
144735
OptionVotes
1830
547
OptionProbability
55
28
11
3
2
OptionProbability
75
8
7
7
3
Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?
Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
45.85%chance
82541
OptionVotes
10867
9202
Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?
Dec 5, 2:26 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM
39.69%chance
14989
OptionVotes
1233
811
Zohran Mamdani wins NYC Mayoral general election mandate (50%)?
Jul 12, 2:59 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
49.73%chance
15850
OptionVotes
1005
995
Will a major tech company (Apple, Google, Microsoft, or Meta) acquire a neurotech startup in 2025?
Mar 8, 11:53 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54.99%chance
15845
OptionVotes
1105
905
Party for Freedom (PVV) secures the most seats in the Dutch parliamentary election on October 29, 2025
Jul 26, 5:21 AMOct 29, 5:20 AM
54.34%chance
10604
OptionVotes
1091
917
OptionProbability
67
63
61
53
51
51
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
45
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