Public Security News

Genaro García Luna Granted 90-Day Extension to Appeal 38-Year Sentence Amid Weight Loss, Hygiene Denial, and Isolation Claims

9 months ago

Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

9354954

OptionProbability

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

Aug 3, 11:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

80.09%chance

2321124

OptionVotes

YES

20092

4995

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.55%chance

5914447

OptionVotes

YES

5491

4239

Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027

Feb 7, 11:43 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

19%chance

558078

OptionVotes

YES

2065

484

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.39%chance

196976

OptionVotes

YES

13522

7406

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

Apr 8, 5:24 PMNov 8, 5:00 PM

23.32%chance

154740

OptionVotes

YES

1813

552

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Jul 1, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.37%chance

174255

OptionVotes

YES

12410

8058

Which computational universe do we live in?

Sep 17, 5:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

283938

OptionProbability

Cryptomania

Minicrypt

Heuristica

Pessiland

Algorithmica

Will Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Mar 20, 3:17 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

48.22%chance

232534

OptionVotes

YES

1036

965

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

Feb 6, 12:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.33%chance

202069

OptionVotes

YES

1516

660

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?

Dec 4, 3:33 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60%chance

5805

OptionVotes

YES

1225

816

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Oct 30, 11:42 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

48.12%chance

4157

OptionVotes

YES

1091

1011

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Aug 21, 2025
Aug 21, 2025
Mexico
US Judiciary
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Genaro García Luna Granted 90-Day Extension to Appeal 38-Year Sentence Amid Weight Loss, Hygiene Denial, and Isolation Claims
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9 months ago

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Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Harvey AI publicly announces $200M+ ARR by EOY2026?

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Will Kilmar Ábrego García appear publicly with any 2028 presidential candidate?

Will AI-linked nuclear power deals total 15 GW by EOY2026?

Which computational universe do we live in?

Will Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi still be alive by June 1st 2026?

Will the US and Russia start a new nuclear arms race before 2028?

[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?

Will a Russian actor be publicly attributed with stealing weights from a frontier AI developer before 2030?

Latest stories

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