Q1 News

1 year ago

When will Anthropic IPO?

Jul 29, 5:37 PMDec 31, 5:59 PM

188441907

OptionProbability

2026 Q4

2027 Q1

2027 Q2

2029 or later or not at all

2027 Q3

2028

2025 Q3

2025 Q4

2026 Q1

2026 Q2

2026 Q3

2027 Q4

If Anthropic caves to the Pentagon in Q1 2026, will it remain a leading AI lab in 2027?

Feb 27, 2:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1510922

OptionProbability

Anthropic does not cave: stays a leading lab

Anthropic does not cave: stops being a leading lab

Anthropic caves: stays a leading lab

Anthropic caves: stops being a leading lab

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

Apr 24, 11:55 AMDec 31, 4:00 PM

176129

OptionProbability

At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026

At least 100 Semis produced in 2026

At least 10 Optimus V3 or later produced in 2026

Robotaxis in at least 12 states in 2026

Roadster unveiled before May 24th 2026

100

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

69.1%chance

171823

OptionVotes

YES

1634

367

Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?

Feb 6, 10:34 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM

43.78%chance

121757

OptionVotes

YES

1133

882

Will we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?

Jul 6, 6:48 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

19.06%chance

41109

OptionVotes

YES

2061

485

Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

Dec 21, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9617

OptionProbability

Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st)

Q3 (Jul 1st - Oct 1st)

Any part of 2026

Q4 (Oct 1st - Jan 1st 2027)

Q1 (Jan 1st - Apr 1st)

100

Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028

Sep 23, 3:41 PMApr 2, 9:59 PM

82.65%chance

16577

OptionVotes

YES

1314

906

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

19503

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Anthropic 2027 Q1 Revenue

Aug 30, 2:55 AMAug 30, 4:59 AM

7430

OptionProbability

$30 - 39B

$40 - 49B

$20 - 29B

$12 - 19B

$50 - 59B

$60 - 70B

Below $12B

Above $70B

Will US translator jobs stay stable based on 2026 data (likely to be published Q1 2027)?

Aug 31, 3:27 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

60.66%chance

7136

OptionVotes

YES

124

When will the US strategic petroleum reserve start increasing again (Q1 2027 edition)

Oct 2, 8:23 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

239

OptionProbability

Before Apr 2027

Before Mar 2027

Before Feb 2027

Before Jan 2027

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When will Anthropic IPO?

If Anthropic caves to the Pentagon in Q1 2026, will it remain a leading AI lab in 2027?

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?

Will we have a scenario like "2030: Takeover" as defined in AI 2027 before the end of Q1, 2030?

Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Anthropic 2027 Q1 Revenue

Will US translator jobs stay stable based on 2026 data (likely to be published Q1 2027)?

When will the US strategic petroleum reserve start increasing again (Q1 2027 edition)

Latest stories

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