Q1 News

6 months ago

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Nov 29, 7:47 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

57.11%chance

1210212

OptionVotes

YES

10566

5092

Bachelor Season 30 on ABC by Q1 2026?

May 24, 8:04 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

20.05%chance

67917

OptionVotes

YES

1997

501

Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?

Nov 23, 3:14 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

16%chance

113133

OptionVotes

YES

2293

437

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Jan 6, 11:15 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

22.86%chance

121974

OptionVotes

YES

6561

4573

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Feb 3, 1:24 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

69.1%chance

171823

OptionVotes

YES

1634

367

Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?

Feb 6, 10:34 PMFeb 14, 4:59 AM

44.51%chance

101740

OptionVotes

YES

1116

896

Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028

Sep 23, 3:41 PMApr 2, 9:59 PM

81.12%chance

15477

OptionVotes

YES

1214

928

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Dec 16, 7:20 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

17386

OptionProbability

Increase domestic energy production by 3 million barrel of oil equivalents per day

Reduce budget deficit to 3% of GDP

Real GDP growth of 3% per annum

Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

Dec 21, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6262

OptionProbability

Q1 (Jan 1st - Apr 1st)

Any part of 2026

Q2 (Apr 1st - Jul 1st)

Q3 (Jul 1st - Oct 1st)

Q4 (Oct 1st - Jan 1st 2027)

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Jan 3, 5:25 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

46.54%chance

282

OptionVotes

YES

300

Will any AI Agent vendor announce >1M deployed enterprise AI agents by the end of Q1, 2026?

Dec 8, 5:51 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

170

OptionProbability

Sierra AI

Copilot

Hubspot

Service Now

Intercom

ZenDesk

Agentforce

Will Eli Lilly’s reported Q1 2026 tirzepatide sales (Zepbound/Mounjaro) show >50% YoY growth?

Jan 12, 12:37 AMMay 15, 11:59 PM

67.38%chance

258

OptionVotes

YES

344

270

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Prediction markets for Q1

Prediction markets for Q1

Prediction markets for Q1

UK gov accepts all 47 Fingleton nuclear review recommendations by Q1 2026?

Bachelor Season 30 on ABC by Q1 2026?

Will Congress pass a bill by the end of Q1 2025 that mandates customer service operations to be located inside the USA?

[ACX 2026] Will the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?

Will AMD have a higher market share of CPUs (all CPUs) than Intel in Q1 2030?

Will US real GDP in Q1 2030 be at least 50% greater than in Q1 2025?

Scott Alexander's "In 2028, AI movie" market will be resolved in Q1 2028

Which prongs of the "3-3-3" economic plan will the Trump administration achieve by the end of Q1, 2028?

Will any UK cabinet ministers resign in Q1, Q2, Q3, or Q4 of 2026?

US-UK Tech Prosperity Deal reinstated during Q1 2026

Will any AI Agent vendor announce >1M deployed enterprise AI agents by the end of Q1, 2026?

Will Eli Lilly’s reported Q1 2026 tirzepatide sales (Zepbound/Mounjaro) show >50% YoY growth?

Latest stories

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