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Red Bull News

    Prediction markets for Red Bull

    OptionProbability

    Max Verstappen

    Isack Hadjar

    Sergio Perez

    Daniel Ricciardo

    Yuki Tsunoda

    Liam Lawson

    Carlos Sainz

    99

    99

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    OptionProbability

    [Decathlon] 6 or more WorldTour victories

    [Red Bull-BORA] 15 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lotto-Intermarche] 13 or more victories (.1 or higher)

    [UAE] 40 or more WorldTour victories

    [FDJ-Suez] Demi Vollering scores the most UCI points of any woman in 2026

    [Uno-X] 4 or more WorldTour victories

    [Decathlon] Olav Kooij wins 4 or more WorldTour races

    [UAE] Antonio Morgado podiums a 1.UWT classic race

    [Decathlon] Top 6 in the UCI rankings in 2026

    [Red Bull-BORA] Florian Lipowitz places better than Remco Evenepoel at the Tour de France

    [Lidl-Trek] Do not podium any Grand Tour GC

    [Soudal-Quickstep] 15 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lidl-Trek] 23 or more WorldTour victories

    [Lidl-Trek] Juan Ayuso podiums the Vuelta a España GC

    [Decathlon] Win a stage in all three Grand Tours

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Ilan van Wilder has a better average finishing position than Remco Evenepoel in the Ardennes classics (Amstel, Fleche, LBL)

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege

    [Uno-X] Johannes Kulset scores 1000 or more UCI points

    [Ineos] Sam Welsford wins 4 times as many races (or more) as Arne Marit

    [Visma] Sepp Kuss finishes better than Jonas Vingegaard at the Tour de France

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins a Giro d'Italia stage

    [Visma] Matthew Brennan wins 3 Vuelta stages + the green jersey

    [UAE] Tadej Pogacar wins all five Monuments

    [Red Bull-BORA] Finish on the podium in GC in all three Grand Tours

    [Lidl-Trek] Mathias Vacek wins a cobbled classic

    [Lidl-Trek] Mads Pedersen does not win a WorldTour race

    [Ineos] Joshua Tarling wins more time trials than Remco Evenepoel

    [Lotto-Intermarche] 4 or more WorldTour victories

    [Uno-X] Jonas Abrahamsen wins 2 or more Grand Tour stages

    [Lidl-Trek] 3rd in UCI points for the 2026 season

    [Ineos] Egan Bernal and Brandon Rivera sign with Movistar before EOY 2026

    [Lidl-Trek] Mattias Skjelmose leaves the team before the end of 2026

    [Uno-X] Do not finish in the top 10 of any Grand Tour GC

    [NSN] Biniam Girmay wins a 1.UWT race

    [Alpecin] Win the points classification in two Grand Tours

    [Visma] A French rider on Visma wins a WorldTour stage race GC

    [Uno-X] Adne Holter scores 1000 or more UCI points

    [Visma] Bruno Armirail wins a Tour de France stage

    [Red Bull-BORA] Laurence Pithie podiums a Monument

    [Soudal-Quickstep] Gianmarco Garofoli wins the King of the Mountains at the Giro d'Italia

    [Alpecin] Jasper Philipsen wins Gent-Wevelgem

    [Visma] Wilco Kelderman wins a race

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas podiums the Giro d'Italia

    [Visma] Timo Kielich finishes in the top 5 at Paris-Roubaix

    [Decathlon] Paul Seixas wins Il Lombardia

    [NSN] Corbin Strong podiums Liege-Bastogne-Liege

    [Visma] Matthew Brennan wins Milan-San Remo

    90

    71

    65

    62

    61

    60

    60

    60

    59

    55

    54

    50

    34

    34

    34

    34

    32

    31

    29

    29

    28

    26

    25

    24

    24

    24

    24

    24

    20

    20

    20

    19

    18

    18

    15

    14

    12

    12

    10

    10

    8

    6

    5

    5

    4

    1

    0

    Red Bull Racing Chaos Mega Market

    Jul 9, 9:03 PMJan 1, 9:53 PM
    82096

    OptionProbability

    Helmut Marko leaves RBR before 2027

    Max Verstappen drives at least one race for RBR in 2026

    Laurent Mekies still RBR TP by July 9th 2026

    RBR wins another WDC or WCC before 2036

    Hannah Schmitz leaves RBR before 2027 season

    Jonathan Wheatley returns to RBR by 2027

    Christian Horner returns to RBR before 2032

    Christian Horner TP at another F1 team by start of 2026 season

    100

    97

    88

    60

    55

    53

    22

    8

    OptionProbability

    Florian Lipowitz starts the Tour de France

    Primoz Roglic starts the Vuelta a España

    Giulio Pelizzari starts the Giro d'Italia

    Jai Hindley starts the Giro d'Italia

    Remco Evenepoel starts the Tour de France

    Florian Lipowitz starts the Vuelta a España

    Giulio Pelizzari starts the Vuelta a España

    Jai Hindley starts the Vuelta a España

    Jai Hindley starts the Tour de France

    Remco Evenepoel starts the Vuelta a España

    Primoz Roglic starts the Tour de France

    Primoz Roglic starts the Giro d'Italia

    Giulio Pelizzari starts the Tour de France

    Florian Lipowitz starts the Giro d'Italia

    Remco Evenepoel starts the Giro d'Italia

    80

    80

    80

    80

    74

    37

    37

    37

    32

    27

    25

    20

    20

    15

    11

    Formula 1 World Constructors Championship (WCC)

    Dec 12, 6:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    9703

    OptionProbability

    Mercedes

    Ferrari

    Mclaren

    Red Bull

    Aston Martin

    Alpine

    Williams

    Haas

    Sauber

    Racing Bulls

    Cadillac

    Other

    73

    20

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    Will Alex Albon race for a Red Bull owned team in 2026?

    Feb 8, 9:25 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    1.83%chance
    9645

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    643

    11

    OptionProbability

    Cadillac

    Aston Martin

    Williams

    Alpine

    Racing Bulls

    Haas

    Audi

    Ferrari

    Red Bull Racing

    Mercedes

    McLaren

    39

    25

    12

    7

    3

    3

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    OptionProbability

    Aston Martin

    Mercedes

    He'll leave F1 without driving for another team

    Audi/Sauber

    Ferrari

    McLaren

    Racing Bulls

    Alpine

    Haas

    Williams

    Cadillac

    Other

    27

    23

    22

    10

    3

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    2

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    130

    77

    OptionProbability

    Isack Hadjar

    Other

    Arvid Lindblad

    Yuki Tsunoda

    65

    20

    10

    5

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    169

    37

    2026 MLS champion?

    Feb 2, 1:56 PMDec 14, 4:59 AM
    00

    OptionProbability

    Atlanta United

    Austin FC

    Charlotte FC

    Chicago Fire FC

    FC Cincinnati

    Colorado Rapids

    Columbus Crew

    D.C. United

    FC Dallas

    Houston Dynamo FC

    Sporting Kansas City

    LA Galaxy

    Los Angeles Football Club

    Inter Miami CF

    Minnesota United FC

    CF Montreal

    Nashville SC

    New England Revolution

    Red Bull New York

    New York City Football Club

    Orlando City

    Philadelphia Union

    Portland Timbers

    Real Salt Lake

    San Diego FC

    San Jose Earthquakes

    Seattle Sounders

    St. Louis City SC

    Toronto FC

    Vancouver Whitecaps FC

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

    3

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