Reform UK News

St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England

3 months ago

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

Britain

Politics

World

Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK

3 months ago

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

Britain

Politics

World

UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel

3 months ago

Britain

Politics

World

Musk Pledges Funding for Lawsuits Over UK Grooming Gang Failures

3 months ago

Britain

Politics

World

Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan

3 months ago

Britain

Argentina

Politics

Labour at 20% Records Lowest Poll Since 2019 as Reform UK Leads at 28% and Conservatives Fall to 17% in August YouGov Survey

3 months ago

Britain

Politics

Culture

‘Operation Raise the Colours’ Sparks Row Over St George’s Cross Displays

4 months ago

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

44%chance

11791482

OptionVotes

YES

1233

983

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

1%chance

2123287

OptionVotes

YES

9950

101

Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?

Jul 5, 8:21 AMJul 5, 9:59 PM

219316

OptionProbability

No by-election held in these seats before the next UK General Election

After 30/06/2025 (by-election held)

Before 01/11/2024

Between 01/11/2024 and 30/06/2025

Will Elon Musk donate at least £10 million to Reform UK before the next general election?

Dec 3, 8:13 PMAug 10, 10:59 PM

6.9%chance

278900

OptionVotes

YES

3673

272

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

18.03%chance

205817

OptionVotes

YES

2132

469

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

82.52%chance

242974

OptionVotes

YES

2173

460

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

22.77%chance

242523

OptionVotes

YES

1842

543

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

Feb 12, 2:39 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

30.04%chance

122153

OptionVotes

YES

1526

655

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Mar 24, 7:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

152044

OptionProbability

5 - 7

3 - 4

8 - 10

11 - 15

Above 15

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

121539

OptionProbability

Other

Richard Tice

Zia Yusuf

Danny Kruger

Lee Anderson

Party ceases to exist

James McMurdock

Rupert Lowe

Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?

Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.44%chance

41265

OptionVotes

YES

265

If the PM after the next UK election is Reform, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Sep 24, 3:43 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM

135

OptionProbability

100 - 200

200 - 300

0 - 100

300 - 400

400 - 500

Above 500

Latest stories

Aug 29, 2025
Aug 29, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
UK Court Lets 138 Asylum Seekers Remain at Epping Hotel
Authors
6
3 months ago
Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
Britain
Politics
Culture
St George’s Cross Surge Spurs Immigration Debate in England
Authors
18
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Scottish MSP Graham Simpson Jumps to Nigel Farage’s Reform UK
Authors
5
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Musk Pledges Funding for Lawsuits Over UK Grooming Gang Failures
Authors
14
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Britain
Argentina
Politics
Labour at 20% Records Lowest Poll Since 2019 as Reform UK Leads at 28% and Conservatives Fall to 17% in August YouGov Survey
Authors
7
3 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
Britain
Politics
World
Taliban Says It Would Accept Afghans Deported Under Farage Plan
Authors
3
3 months ago
Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
Britain
Politics
Culture
‘Operation Raise the Colours’ Sparks Row Over St George’s Cross Displays
Authors
10
4 months ago

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Prediction markets for Reform UK

Prediction markets for Reform UK

Prediction markets for Reform UK

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?

Will Elon Musk donate at least £10 million to Reform UK before the next general election?

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?

If the PM after the next UK election is Reform, how many gun deaths in England and Wales over the subsequent 5 years?

Latest stories

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