Reform UK News

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

26%chance

9584192

OptionVotes

YES

1687

593

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

Aug 13, 11:59 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

24%chance

3940927

OptionVotes

YES

178

Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?

Mar 7, 6:12 PMAug 31, 10:59 PM

1.01%chance

718657

OptionVotes

YES

9902

101

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

Jul 21, 1:09 PMAug 16, 10:59 PM

3.37%chance

2112985

OptionVotes

YES

5357

187

How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?

May 2, 8:09 AMDec 31, 9:07 AM

149647

Will Elon Musk donate at least £10 million to Reform UK before the next general election?

Dec 3, 8:13 PMAug 10, 10:59 PM

4.71%chance

278850

OptionVotes

YES

4499

222

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Jan 3, 1:57 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

20.9%chance

153264

OptionVotes

YES

1946

514

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Jan 5, 3:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

79.26%chance

242639

OptionVotes

YES

1955

512

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Aug 13, 11:58 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

17.69%chance

232323

OptionVotes

YES

2157

464

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

Feb 12, 2:39 PMAug 15, 10:59 PM

15.83%chance

111901

OptionVotes

YES

2306

434

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Mar 11, 7:38 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

121482

OptionProbability

Other

Richard Tice

Lee Anderson

Party ceases to exist

Zia Yusuf

James McMurdock

Rupert Lowe

Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Jan 18, 2:09 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

5.87%chance

8499

OptionVotes

YES

530

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Reform UK News

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Prediction markets for Reform UK

Prediction markets for Reform UK

Prediction markets for Reform UK

Will Reform win the next UK election?

Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?

Will Rupert Lowe be a Reform UK MP on 1st September 2025?

Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?

How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?

Will Elon Musk donate at least £10 million to Reform UK before the next general election?

Will Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?

Will Nigel Farage lead the Reform UK party into the next General Election?

Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?

Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?

Who will be the next permanent leader of Reform UK (after Nigel Farage)?

Will Scotland leave the UK before 2030 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?

Latest stories

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