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Prediction markets for Repair
Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2040?
Mar 17, 3:17 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
69.36%chance
18925011
OptionVotes
1600
510
What exactly caused the 737MAX Alaska Airlines rapid depressurisation incident?
Jan 6, 10:56 PMFeb 28, 10:59 PM
377484
OptionProbability
99
95
91
24
18
18
8
6
If @Celene takes estrogen, will she consider it to have a positive effect, neutral effect, or negative effect?
Jan 12, 4:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
74.75%chance
366585
OptionVotes
1117
948
Major internet outage due to undersea cables breaking by end of 2026?
Aug 3, 12:14 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM
72.95%chance
303744
OptionVotes
4646
3597
🩹Which people that have burned a bridge with Destiny will repair it before the end of his career? [ADD RESPONSES]
Mar 10, 11:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
193170
OptionProbability
73
66
55
50
50
50
49
47
46
39
27
24
24
24
11
10
8
6
6
5
5
5
5
5
What issues will I experience with my Tesla in the first 5 years of ownership
Jun 8, 8:29 PMJun 14, 8:22 PM
41503
OptionProbability
100
65
31
31
31
20
20
20
20
14
8
5
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM
34.63%chance
181220
OptionVotes
1128
640
If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
Aug 4, 12:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
17740
OptionProbability
75
25
Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
Dec 19, 9:33 PMJul 18, 5:59 AM
12574
OptionProbability
20
14
12
10
10
8
5
4
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
What will be the toll for the Francis Scott Key Bridge post repair or replacement? (No EZ Pass)
Mar 26, 12:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
6163
OptionProbability
81
66
54
50
38
29
Will China cause damage requiring drydock repair to a vessel between Jan 1 and June 30, 2026?
Dec 5, 1:24 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
19.52%chance
8147
OptionVotes
203
49
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