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Prediction markets for Resolutions Committee
Tesla certifies first tranche of 2025 CEO Performance Award by June 30, 2026?
Nov 24, 8:40 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM
1%chance
816484
OptionVotes
9950
101
Will the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
Dec 14, 1:34 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM
17.84%chance
4810173
OptionVotes
1609
816
Did Stephen Wolfram solve the second law of thermodynamics?
May 25, 12:10 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
5.74%chance
285632
OptionVotes
4054
247
Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM
15.47%chance
535363
OptionVotes
2338
428
Will the Federal Reserve hike interest rates in 2026?
Mar 5, 4:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.71%chance
102442
OptionVotes
1656
604
Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?
Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM
18.12%chance
172277
OptionVotes
2126
470
Elon Musk called to testify before Congress by 2028?
Apr 13, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
71.99%chance
272168
OptionVotes
1603
624
Will Kemi Badenoch face a Vote of No Confidence before 1st January 2027?
Feb 18, 11:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
53.15%chance
191708
OptionVotes
1008
959
Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?
Mar 3, 1:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
28%chance
41099
OptionVotes
1070
971
Will Hanoi ban gas powered bikes within Ring Roads 1 within one year?
Jul 15, 10:32 PMJul 15, 10:28 PM
49.66%chance
3661
OptionVotes
1007
993
Vivek Ramaswamy wins 2026 republican primary for governor of Ohio?
Dec 25, 8:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
86.58%chance
4167
OptionVotes
147
91
Will the CCP add more members to the Central Military Commission before 2027?
Jan 27, 8:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
43.06%chance
215
OptionVotes
115
87
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