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Prediction markets for Risk Committee
OptionProbability
100
100
100
99
99
98
94
92
60
30
27
17
17
15
12
10
6
4
3
2
1
0
Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?
May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
13.19%chance
5010868
OptionVotes
14635
3225
OptionProbability
100
72
59
45
WIll the United States Economy enter a recession by 2030?
Jan 12, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
74.27%chance
8280
OptionVotes
170
59
Will Massachusetts enact frontier AI safety legislation during the 194th General Court?
Oct 30, 12:01 AMJan 21, 11:59 PM
71.56%chance
5152
OptionVotes
105
98
Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27?
Apr 14, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.63%chance
3119
OptionVotes
210
79
Before 2035, will evidence indicate BPC-157’s side effects make it not-recommended for musculoskeletal injury recovery?
Jun 28, 6:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.04%chance
496
OptionVotes
1040
961
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