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Prediction markets for Rivalries
Will "narcissistic, orgying tech nerds" solve social ills?
Oct 8, 7:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
30.67%chance
10429280
OptionVotes
1625
393
Will Elon Musk successfully primary any incumbent Democrats in the next election?
Dec 21, 11:05 PMDec 29, 4:59 AM
3%chance
258263
OptionVotes
5746
178
OptionProbability
38
12
11
7
7
7
6
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Will Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Mar 18, 11:37 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
19.67%chance
302993
OptionVotes
1144
928
Will Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Mar 19, 12:51 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
10.66%chance
232302
OptionVotes
1890
811
Will the United States no longer be a Democracy in the next ten years?
Nov 11, 10:19 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.43%chance
312298
OptionVotes
1089
590
Will Spider-Man: Beyond the Spider-Verse get a 95% or higher on Rotten Tomatoes?
Mar 24, 4:26 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
41.32%chance
501977
OptionVotes
1160
845
Will Lisa Murkowski leave the Republican Party before 2029?
Mar 24, 5:47 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
31.88%chance
261190
OptionVotes
1312
812
OptionVotes
1090
917
Will there be a Democratic Supreme Court majority before the advent of AGI?
Oct 31, 7:05 AMNov 8, 4:59 AM
31.19%chance
13361
OptionVotes
1106
929
Will a system similar to Brilliant Pebbles be publicly known to exist in any country by 2040?
Aug 28, 6:26 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
28.79%chance
15332
OptionVotes
995
986
Will a U.S. pro athlete come out as LGBTQ+ and explicitly cite Heated Rivalry as their inspiration before season 2 airs?
Feb 16, 12:34 AMMay 5, 10:59 PM
37%chance
5238
OptionVotes
130
77