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Prediction markets for Rockets

Will ULA's Vulcan rocket launch more often than SpaceX's Starship in 2025?

Oct 22, 7:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10.9%chance

166405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2859

350

Will Elon Musk actually ship a rocket car collaboration between SpaceX and Tesla as stated to Don Lemon by EOY 2035?

Mar 19, 3:44 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

56.99%chance

663830

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1338

708

Will Rocket Lab launch Neutron in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)

Jan 1, 6:47 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

27.04%chance

122506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1643

609

Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 7:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

26.82%chance

191992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

974

945

Will Rocket Lab successfully reuse an Electron Booster by EOY 2025?

Apr 4, 3:05 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM

32.23%chance

16894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1603

392

Will China successfully launch an orbital rocket with reused first stage by the end of 2030?

Aug 6, 10:52 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

78.09%chance

18724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1261

893

Will the Vast Haven-1 successfully reach orbit atop any SpaceX rocket, at any point in 2030?

May 10, 11:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.45%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1073

951

Will an organization besides SpaceX successfully develop a resuable orbital rocket booster launch system by end of 2026?

May 8, 7:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.96%chance

19645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

934

Will someone die aboard a SpaceX rocket before the end of 2030?

Jul 30, 4:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

35.86%chance

21627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1112

718

Will the Falcon 9 Family of rockets launch more times in 2026 than in 2025?

Dec 18, 5:51 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.17%chance

17603

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1047

950

Will a Human Die in a Rocket Launch/ and or Space by 2035?

Nov 14, 3:46 PMJan 1, 12:01 AM

65.8%chance

24548

OptionVotes

YES

NO

994

988

Will there be a successful orbital rocket launch from UK soil this decade? (Eric Berger prediction)

Feb 13, 7:22 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

48.11%chance

10500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1039

963

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