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Sunrun Shares Surge 40% on Treasury Guidance Extending Solar Tax Credits for Projects Under 1.5 MW

2 days ago

If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Jan 24, 4:35 AMNov 8, 6:32 AM

32.18%chance

354169247

OptionVotes

YES

1623

1432

Will Zuckerberg run for US president in 2028

Jul 7, 11:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.61%chance

9184387

OptionVotes

YES

46158

3325

Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?

Nov 15, 1:41 AMNov 6, 4:59 AM

3.86%chance

5074762

OptionVotes

YES

45384

4988

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Sep 13, 10:15 PMDec 31, 12:59 PM

6.45%chance

2249681

OptionVotes

YES

33710

1489

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Feb 4, 5:35 PMAug 2, 3:59 AM

7.87%chance

1416797

OptionVotes

YES

14892

Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?

Jan 16, 4:54 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

12.21%chance

136262

OptionVotes

YES

7301

556

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Dec 17, 7:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.01%chance

175392

OptionVotes

YES

9916

2845

Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2030 (start of 2031)

May 29, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.73%chance

162887

OptionVotes

YES

2083

480

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Jun 9, 9:27 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

52.36%chance

22432

OptionVotes

YES

10483

9539

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

Sep 21, 6:40 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

15.85%chance

231547

OptionVotes

YES

1201

926

If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?

Oct 8, 8:43 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

71.52%chance

12682

OptionVotes

YES

1585

631

Is The Pipe Plaza run by a frequent user of the Marioverse Discord Sever

Feb 23, 12:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

OptionProbability

Yes

It will stay Unknown throughout 2025

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Aug 15, 2025
Aug 15, 2025
US Domestic Policy
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Sunrun Shares Surge 40% on Treasury Guidance Extending Solar Tax Credits for Projects Under 1.5 MW
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If Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?

Will Zuckerberg run for US president in 2028

Will Kamala Harris run for governor of California?

Will $Kendu reach 100B MC in next bull run?

Will Brazilian ineligibility laws be revised to allow Bolsonaro to run for office in 2026?

Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?

Will GiveWell fund Community health promoters (eg those run by Living Goods) by 1st January 2027?

Will an AI run a factory by the end of 2030 (start of 2031)

Will a Manifest speaker run a direct science funding Organization by mid 2027?

Before 2028, will any prediction market find a robust way to run a market on AI extinction risk? [M$50,000 reward]

If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?

Is The Pipe Plaza run by a frequent user of the Marioverse Discord Sever

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