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Prediction markets for Sachs
CEO Tontine - next three CEOs out will go to 100%, others to 0% - one Out
Jul 9, 9:43 PMDec 31, 10:25 PM
5331342
OptionProbability
100
100
99
50
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
CEO Tontine - which three of these twenty CEOs will survive longest?
Nov 19, 4:36 PMNov 27, 7:59 AM
5422040
OptionProbability
65
26
23
23
19
18
18
17
17
16
16
16
14
11
1
1
1
0
0
0
Will >97% of all jobs be fully automated before the year 2075?
Aug 29, 10:49 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
55.81%chance
10816424
OptionVotes
1322
855
Which of these companies will outperform the S&P 500 in 2026?
Dec 29, 11:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3514926
OptionProbability
94
90
87
78
77
76
75
75
74
65
64
63
61
60
59
59
58
58
55
54
53
52
52
50
46
40
38
36
34
33
32
31
31
31
31
31
30
29
28
24
23
20
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
11
OptionProbability
11
10
10
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
1069
935
Will Goldman Sachs fire its banking analysts that took PE jobs?
Jan 13, 1:20 PMDec 25, 1:14 PM
13.37%chance
71572
OptionVotes
2546
393
Will Joe Root pass Sachin Tendulkar for all-time Test runs scored?
Jan 9, 4:34 AMSep 30, 11:59 PM
70.82%chance
6309
OptionVotes
156
64
Which of the ten oldest S&P 100 companies will be the first to die?
Mar 4, 5:48 PMMar 9, 10:59 PM
9155
OptionProbability
15
15
13
11
9
9
9
7
6
6
How much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030?
Jul 14, 12:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
5107
OptionProbability
42
22
19
17
Which China pundits may eventually be found to be assets of the CCP?
Jan 16, 9:41 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM
570
OptionProbability
52
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
41
40
OptionVotes
126
79