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China Launches Green Foreign Debt Pilot in 16 Regions, Eases Shanghai Home-Buying Rules Including Property Tax Exemption from August 26

6 months ago

Before 2050, will it become safe and easy to change one's apparent sex at will?

Nov 15, 8:54 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

40%chance

837187

OptionVotes

YES

1048

902

Will cryopreserved brains at Tomorrow.Bio be safe until the end of 2030?

Aug 4, 10:36 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

85.28%chance

222148

OptionVotes

YES

1820

750

Alex Honnold fails to climb safely through 2035

Jun 6, 11:49 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.22%chance

262046

OptionVotes

YES

1334

835

Will OpenAI publicly state that they DON'T know how to safely align a superintelligence, after 2027?

Nov 4, 12:16 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.98%chance

251693

OptionVotes

YES

1415

789

Will there be a safe and sustainable way to get JACKED quickly by 2030?

Jul 18, 8:30 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17.66%chance

281549

OptionVotes

YES

843

306

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Mar 12, 8:26 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.82%chance

11970

OptionVotes

YES

1368

731

Will there be a safe and sustainable way of avoiding the need for sleep by 2030?

Jul 18, 8:26 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.35%chance

10586

OptionVotes

YES

359

127

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?

Jul 11, 11:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.01%chance

11321

OptionVotes

YES

1202

954

Will medically safe ribcage depth reduction of 3+ inches be commercially available by 2100?

Aug 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.04%chance

7257

OptionVotes

YES

1149

906

Will OpenAI publicly state that they know how to safely align a superintelligence before 2030?

Nov 3, 11:59 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.38%chance

12254

OptionVotes

YES

1011

889

Will prioritizing corrigible AI produce safe results?

Mar 12, 8:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

44.79%chance

4170

OptionVotes

YES

1110

901

Will "Nice-ish, smooth takeoff (with imperfect safe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Oct 3, 9:33 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.52%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1006

964

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Aug 22, 2025
Aug 22, 2025
China
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Real Estate
China Launches Green Foreign Debt Pilot in 16 Regions, Eases Shanghai Home-Buying Rules Including Property Tax Exemption from August 26
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6 months ago

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Before 2050, will it become safe and easy to change one's apparent sex at will?

Will cryopreserved brains at Tomorrow.Bio be safe until the end of 2030?

Alex Honnold fails to climb safely through 2035

Will OpenAI publicly state that they DON'T know how to safely align a superintelligence, after 2027?

Will there be a safe and sustainable way to get JACKED quickly by 2030?

Will AGI create a consensus among experts on how to safely increase AI capabilities?

Will there be a safe and sustainable way of avoiding the need for sleep by 2030?

Will there be a relatively safe way to increase the IQ of the average adult by 25+ points with under $200k before 2030?

Will medically safe ribcage depth reduction of 3+ inches be commercially available by 2100?

Will OpenAI publicly state that they know how to safely align a superintelligence before 2030?

Will prioritizing corrigible AI produce safe results?

Will "Nice-ish, smooth takeoff (with imperfect safe..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Latest stories

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WhatsApp

Telegram