SCO News

China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus and $512.4 Billion SCO Trade Highlight 14th Five-Year Plan Progress

1 year ago

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations

11 months ago

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

Jul 19, 2:27 PMAug 31, 11:59 PM

16.49%chance

22091568

OptionVotes

YES

22645

4161

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

Dec 8, 10:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3768844

OptionProbability

Above 160

Above 170

Above 180

Above 200

Above 225

Above 250

100

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

16.2%chance

15652468

OptionVotes

YES

14797

1270

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Feb 14, 5:26 PMFeb 14, 5:23 PM

61.55%chance

19243815

OptionVotes

YES

1265

790

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.6%chance

10842720

OptionVotes

YES

11866

8858

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Jun 18, 3:15 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

7.75%chance

10834087

OptionVotes

YES

992

612

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

20%chance

3814920

OptionVotes

YES

18124

6187

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Jan 30, 2:53 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

8110310

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

Dec 30, 4:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86464

OptionProbability

Futurama: AI tech produces great advances but our civilization recognizably continues

AI-Dystopia: AI tech produces great harm but our civilization recognizably continues

Singularia: AI is autonomous and acts as "benevolent gods"

Paperclipalypse: AI causes our extinction or similar

AI-Fizzle: AI tech doesn't have a huge impact

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.42%chance

12860

OptionVotes

YES

10622

9739

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

May 28, 7:56 AMJan 2, 2:59 AM

26.12%chance

19749

OptionVotes

YES

1232

893

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Aug 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.45%chance

2110

OptionVotes

YES

10090

9911

Latest stories

Aug 28, 2025
Aug 28, 2025
China
Politics
World
Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 Held Aug 31-Sept 1 in Tianjin With Leaders From 20+ Countries and 10 Intl Organizations
Authors
8
11 months ago
Aug 27, 2025
Aug 27, 2025
China
Economics
Business
China’s $1.2 Trillion Trade Surplus and $512.4 Billion SCO Trade Highlight 14th Five-Year Plan Progress
Authors
9
1 year ago

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Prediction markets for SCO

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Prediction markets for SCO

Open-Source AI model gets perfect IMO 2026 score? [International Math Olympiad 2026]

ECI 2026: Epoch Capabilities Index Highest Score

If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?

Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?

Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030

Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?

Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass?

Which Scott Aaronson AI world will come to pass? (Metaculus forecast, 2027-12-31)

By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?

Will Scotland leave the UK by 2040?

Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?

Latest stories

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