SCO News
Top stories
Prediction markets for SCO
If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
Mar 10, 12:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
28.25%chance
16159047
OptionVotes
11888
2079
Would Freddie deBoer win his proposed bet with Scott Alexander?
Feb 14, 5:26 PMFeb 14, 5:23 PM
64.44%chance
19846246
OptionVotes
1346
743
Scott Alexander publishes a "Death with Dignity" style post before 2030
Nov 20, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
17.6%chance
10842720
OptionVotes
11866
8858
Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
Jun 18, 3:15 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM
10.54%chance
11135910
OptionVotes
1009
444
Will Steven Pinker and Scott Alexander have a debate on AI safety in 2026?
Sep 20, 11:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
8.91%chance
3026097
OptionVotes
31979
3127
Will SCOTUS strike down the preemptive pardons if it considers the case?
Jan 20, 2:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
19.96%chance
3914944
OptionVotes
18148
6181
OptionProbability
36
32
15
10
7
Will RAY post reviews of at least five Scott Alexander essays before EOY?
Aug 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.75%chance
75706
OptionVotes
15368
6507
Is Cheryl Scott from ABC CHICAGO pregnant????!?!??? 🤰
Oct 16, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:30 PM
56%chance
255534
OptionVotes
7401
2456
By the end of 2035, will any country score 95/9.5 or higher on one of the two major economic freedom indexes?
Mar 31, 7:04 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
27.42%chance
12860
OptionVotes
10622
9739
OptionVotes
1232
893
What will the top score on Epoch AI's Chess Puzzles benchmark be on November 30, 2026?
Nov 1, 4:26 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM
00
OptionProbability
25
25
25
25
Latest stories
Latest stories