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Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before 2030?
Nov 17, 6:56 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
55.88%chance
6610019
OptionVotes
1231
747
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
9.73%chance
456841
OptionVotes
1612
875
Was seizure of the devices of Shayne Coplan, Polymarket CEO, motivated by political retribution?
Nov 13, 9:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
6.19%chance
116339
OptionVotes
3891
257
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
Dec 10, 3:41 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
28.59%chance
344316
OptionVotes
1074
715
Will any of Trump's trophy properties be seized by the State of New York by the end of 2025?
Oct 30, 3:08 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
8.36%chance
353918
OptionVotes
3013
195
Will Russia's frozen state assets be seized before 2026 ?
Jul 27, 11:29 AMDec 31, 12:59 PM
19.37%chance
232618
OptionVotes
1909
177
Will Russia attempt to militarily seize the Suwałki Gap before 2030?
Feb 26, 6:24 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
20.93%chance
252220
OptionVotes
1028
442
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
44.09%chance
251736
OptionVotes
1151
741
Will US Border Patrol seize more fentanyl in 2025 than in 2024?
Dec 18, 12:47 AMOct 2, 6:59 AM
32.72%chance
161270
OptionVotes
1434
697
Will China attempt to seize any region of Russia before 2046?
Sep 25, 2:21 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
23.74%chance
241179
OptionVotes
1280
886
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
Dec 10, 3:42 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
34.57%chance
26867
OptionVotes
1039
904
AI starts crypto trading, seize the entirety of value from every chain and token, ultimately driving them to zero? 📉
Apr 1, 11:18 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM
6.17%chance
12628
OptionVotes
1385
915
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