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Prediction markets for Senate Bills
Will the farm bill (HR 7567) pass and destroy / federally preempt state animal welfare laws?
Apr 29, 12:45 AMJan 14, 12:59 AM
14.68%chance
8836202
OptionVotes
10857
1831
Survivor 2026: Whose (GOP Primary) Torch Will Trump Fail to Snuff?
Jan 5, 12:45 AMSep 30, 12:59 AM
296663
OptionProbability
99
93
44
15
14
1
1
OptionVotes
1175
851
Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?
May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.96%chance
474052
OptionVotes
8923
4537
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
50.46%chance
8375
OptionVotes
1009
991
Will the US Senate pass the Digital Bill of Rights by June 30, 2026?
Mar 26, 8:31 AMJul 1, 4:00 AM
9.24%chance
5230
OptionVotes
410
167
Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?
Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
46.84%chance
6163
OptionVotes
1065
939
Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?
Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM
45.02%chance
2105
OptionVotes
1105
905
Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?
Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM
74.59%chance
1100
OptionVotes
1100
964
Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
Apr 7, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.13%chance
350
OptionVotes
123
81
Will Bill Pulte be confirmed by the Senate as DNI before June 4 2027?
Jun 3, 8:19 PMJun 3, 11:59 PM
18%chance
215
OptionVotes
103
83
OptionVotes
109
92
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