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Prediction markets for Senate Bills
OptionVotes
1157
865
Alcatraz transfer language passed by either chamber by end of 2026?
May 5, 1:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
25.85%chance
454025
OptionVotes
8955
4526
Survivor 2026: Whose (GOP Primary) Torch Will Trump Fail to Snuff?
Jan 5, 12:45 AMSep 30, 12:59 AM
212027
OptionProbability
99
73
72
44
36
22
17
Will Incumbent Republican Senator Bill Cassidy win the Republican Primary?
Feb 7, 9:16 PMMay 21, 12:59 AM
7.27%chance
151842
OptionVotes
285
74
Trump impeached, convicted, and removed within six months of approval below 35%?
Jun 6, 3:04 PMDec 6, 3:00 PM
20.65%chance
131318
OptionVotes
1960
510
Will any of the house, senate, or Supreme Court cease to exist before 2050?
Nov 15, 2:17 PMDec 30, 2:15 PM
25.04%chance
91085
OptionVotes
1730
578
If the Take It Down Act becomes law, will it be used against satirists or journalists?
Mar 17, 4:13 PMMay 21, 6:59 AM
50.46%chance
8375
OptionVotes
1009
991
Will the US Senate pass the Digital Bill of Rights by June 30, 2026?
Mar 26, 8:31 AMJul 1, 4:00 AM
9.39%chance
4224
OptionVotes
404
168
Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?
Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM
46.84%chance
6163
OptionVotes
1065
939
Will two Democratic and two GOP Senators cosponsor an AI bill that mentions widespread job loss from AI before 2030?
Apr 7, 4:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
60.13%chance
350
OptionVotes
123
81
Will Bill Cassidy make the runoff of the Louisiana Republican Primary for Senate?
Mar 15, 5:18 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM
57.38%chance
419
OptionVotes
1009
993
OptionVotes
109
92
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