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Prediction markets for SF
OptionProbability
95
2
1
1
1
Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?
Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM
33%chance
8733984
OptionVotes
14277
6989
Will the SF to LA segment of the HSR be completed by 2040?
Mar 13, 6:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.64%chance
4018942
OptionVotes
15993
3180
OptionVotes
1059
777
Will there be a high-speed rail between LA and SF by the end of 2040?
Dec 31, 6:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
13.74%chance
556422
OptionVotes
2349
513
Will SF Prop G to "reopen the Great Highway" LOSE by at least 20 percentage points
Aug 13, 3:57 PMNov 10, 7:59 AM
96.24%chance
206248
OptionVotes
5059
198
Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?
Nov 6, 7:45 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM
90.97%chance
115809
OptionVotes
3175
315
Is Daniel Lurie going to make it to the end of his term as SF Mayor?
Nov 6, 7:11 PMNov 6, 7:59 AM
90.68%chance
72944
OptionVotes
3120
321
OptionVotes
2094
771
Will SF homelessness rates be higher in 2030 than in 2022
Nov 16, 6:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
45.58%chance
17939
OptionVotes
1012
937
OptionVotes
1101
705
Will the SF to LA segment of the California HSR be completed by 2050?
Mar 13, 6:22 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.98%chance
5471
OptionVotes
69
69
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