OptionVotes
YES
NO
2622
895
1099
815
OptionProbability
Later/Never
H1 2025
H2 2025
H1 2024
H2 2024
2023
89
4
1
0
301
24
134
75
1 GW to 3 GW
<1 GW
3 GW to 10 GW
10 GW to 30 GW
>=30 GW
27
23
21
19
11
Jeffrey Sachs
Huey Li (and the news)
SerpentZA
Laowhy86
Nicholas Kristof
Michael Pettis
Peter Hessler
James Fallows
Kevin D Walmsley of Inside China Business
Liziqi
Nathan Rich
Living in China
Jerry Kowal
Significant effort (10k+ posts) to manipulate comment threads on hacker news.
Asia Society Policy Institute
Yale Center Beijing
Brookings Institution (China Center)
Blondie in China
Elon Musk
Bill Bishop, Sinocism
52
50
41
40