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Prediction markets for Social Security Administration
Delayed Social Security payments to at least 100,000 people before December 31, 2025
Feb 1, 9:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.91%chance
12423197
OptionVotes
13029
7951
OptionVotes
486
31
OptionVotes
242
113
Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?
Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
5331
OptionProbability
55
53
51
50
28
How much of SSA's COBOL code will DOGE successfully replace by December 31, 2025?
Mar 29, 6:31 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10309
OptionProbability
71
12
12
5
Will Trump significantly cut taxes for people making under 150k a year?
Mar 16, 4:18 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM
8.03%chance
10255
OptionVotes
338
30
Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?
Apr 9, 9:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
65.55%chance
10180
OptionVotes
138
72
Will “Vance” rise at least 150 places in the 2025 American baby name rankings?
Nov 10, 4:38 PMJun 2, 3:59 AM
51.94%chance
6168
OptionVotes
1040
962
SSA payments delayed by COBOL-Java migration by EOY2025?
Mar 29, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
27.32%chance
687
OptionVotes
163
61
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