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Top stories

LFI Sparks Press-Freedom Row by Barring Le Monde Reporter

LFI Sparks Press-Freedom Row by Barring Le Monde Reporter

Authors

14

10 months ago

Violent Clashes Involving 300 Participants Erupt at Aurillac Festival; Mayor and Prefect Announce Security Reinforcements

Violent Clashes Involving 300 Participants Erupt at Aurillac Festival; Mayor and Prefect Announce Security Reinforcements

Authors

4

10 months ago

French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

Authors

9

10 months ago

Mélenchon and LFI Back 'Bloquons tout' Blockade on Sept 10, Call to Censure Bayrou Amid Budget Cuts and Social Grievances

Authors

16

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Socialist Party

How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?

Oct 1, 12:03 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

511709

OptionProbability

More than 95

More than 100

More than 105

More than 110

More than 115

More than 120

More than 125

More than 130

More than 135

More than 140

99

99

83

39

9

8

4

1

1

1

Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

13.11%chance

152683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2449

111

Will Próspera (charter city) be officially shut down before 2030?

Oct 11, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

32.4%chance

9860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1444

692

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

96.29%chance

5685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

665

56

Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?

Apr 13, 2:28 PMMar 5, 7:59 AM

5.45%chance

9449

OptionVotes

YES

NO

416

24

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

120

Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)

Feb 28, 9:06 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

5283

OptionProbability

Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress

Any Democrat Running for Elected Office

Any Self Described Socialist

Ben Shapiro

Candace Owens

Clavicular

JD Vance

Donald Trump

The Incumbent Prime Minister of Israel

The Incumbent President of Ukraine

100

50

41

34

28

28

24

21

20

16

Who will run the Anglosphere at the end of June 2028?

Aug 18, 3:24 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

442

OptionProbability

International Democracy Union

Progressive Alliance

67

33

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