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Top stories

LFI Sparks Press-Freedom Row by Barring Le Monde Reporter

LFI Sparks Press-Freedom Row by Barring Le Monde Reporter

Authors

14

1 year ago

Violent Clashes Involving 300 Participants Erupt at Aurillac Festival; Mayor and Prefect Announce Security Reinforcements

Violent Clashes Involving 300 Participants Erupt at Aurillac Festival; Mayor and Prefect Announce Security Reinforcements

Authors

4

1 year ago

French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

French Prime Minister François Bayrou Faces Vote of Confidence by September 8 Amid Opposition Criticism and Modem Support

Authors

9

1 year ago

Mélenchon and LFI Back 'Bloquons tout' Blockade on Sept 10, Call to Censure Bayrou Amid Budget Cuts and Social Grievances

Authors

16

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Socialist Party

How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?

Oct 1, 12:03 PMNov 30, 12:59 AM

1216160

OptionProbability

More than 95

More than 100

More than 105

More than 110

More than 115

More than 120

More than 125

More than 130

More than 135

More than 140

96

90

45

24

5

3

1

1

1

1

Will the next president of France be from Parti Socialiste?

Mar 23, 11:51 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

6.54%chance

183382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2924

61

Will Próspera (charter city) be officially shut down before 2030?

Oct 11, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.93%chance

9910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1494

669

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

93%chance

9809

OptionVotes

NO

YES

420

69

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Sep 21, 6:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

5630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1630

769

Will Sahra Wagenknecht Alliance get at least 5% in the next Bundestag election?

Apr 13, 2:28 PMMar 5, 7:59 AM

10.48%chance

11467

OptionVotes

YES

NO

292

34

Who will Tucker Carlson interview in 2026 (Starting March 1st)

Feb 28, 9:06 PMJan 2, 11:59 PM

10454

OptionProbability

Any Incumbent Governor or Member of Congress

Any Self Described Socialist

Any Democrat Running for Elected Office

Candace Owens

JD Vance

The Incumbent Prime Minister of Israel

Ben Shapiro

Clavicular

The Incumbent President of Ukraine

Donald Trump

100

95

50

40

24

20

18

18

16

12

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

120

Venezuela election winner

Sep 26, 2:26 AMDec 31, 3:00 AM

372

OptionProbability

Other

Delcy Rodríguez

María Corina Machado

Edmundo González Urrutia

Donald Trump

39

25

21

14

1

Will there be a people's revolution in the U.S.A. within our lifetime?

Oct 27, 3:14 AMOct 27, 3:13 AM

44.84%chance

666

OptionVotes

YES

NO

111

90

Who will run the Anglosphere at the end of June 2028?

Aug 18, 3:24 PMJun 30, 10:59 PM

442

OptionProbability

International Democracy Union

Progressive Alliance

67

33

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