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Top stories

Paris Court Rejects Rachida Dati and Carlos Ghosn's Appeal, Orders Trial on Corruption Charges

Paris Court Rejects Rachida Dati and Carlos Ghosn's Appeal, Orders Trial on Corruption Charges

Authors

19

11 days ago

French Minister François Bayrou Sets Two-Month Deadline to Finalize 2026 Budget Plan Targeting 43 Billion Euro Deficit Reduction Amid Political Criticism

Authors

5

14 days ago

Prediction markets for Socialist Party

How many seats will the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party get in the next Spanish general election?

Oct 1, 12:03 PMAug 1, 11:59 PM

37320

OptionProbability

More than 95

More than 100

More than 105

More than 110

More than 115

More than 120

More than 125

More than 130

More than 135

More than 140

99

83

66

63

59

25

3

1

1

1

Which political parties will be part of the next dutch governing coalition?

Jul 6, 2:50 PMAug 1, 2:40 PM

61804

OptionProbability

Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA)

People's Party for Freedom and Democracy (VVD)

GroenLinks–PvdA

JA21

Democrats 66 (D66)

Christian Union (CU)

Reformed Political Party (SGP)

Volt Netherlands

Party for the Animals (PvdD)

New Social Contract (NSC)

Farmer–Citizen Movement (BBB)

Socialist Party (SP)

Party for Freedom (PVV)

Denk

Forum for Democracy (FvD)

81

80

69

46

40

40

40

40

25

18

18

17

12

12

4

If Trump doesn't win, will America become a single-party socialist state?

Oct 6, 4:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

2.22%chance

6981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

664

15

Will Catalonia's self-exiled former president, Carles Puigdemont, return to Catalonia a free man before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

96.29%chance

5685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

665

56

Will a candidate explicitly running as a Socialist be elected to Philadelphia City Council by 2027?

Jan 21, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.8%chance

9301

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

120

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

05

OptionProbability

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

Other

Raul Claros

41

35

24

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