SPAC News

Palihapitiya Seeks $250 Million for ‘American Exceptionalism’ SPAC

1 year ago

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

8.13%chance

127235268

OptionVotes

YES

3153

961

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Feb 7, 6:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

3.45%chance

175159550

OptionVotes

YES

6356

304

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.56%chance

88132423

OptionVotes

YES

2680

916

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.72%chance

6445633

OptionVotes

YES

33225

2613

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Mar 18, 12:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.12%chance

15327561

OptionVotes

YES

4161

496

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3723398

OptionProbability

>= 2032

2029

2028

2030

2031

2027

Before 2027

Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?

Oct 19, 8:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.32%chance

12415970

OptionVotes

YES

3034

1317

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.06%chance

2713596

OptionVotes

YES

12765

7830

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Apr 14, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

54150

OptionProbability

Acquired by, or merged into, a (non-SPAC) public company

Going public (e.g. IPO, SPAC, Direct listing)

Other

Bankruptcy or going out of business

None of the other options happen by 2060

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

Sep 4, 7:26 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.32%chance

323000

OptionVotes

YES

1022

976

Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?

Jul 23, 4:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.74%chance

321956

OptionVotes

YES

6059

5939

Yann LeCun's AMI (props)

Mar 10, 8:36 PMMar 10, 8:36 PM

5988

OptionProbability

AMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange

Raises next funding round above $5B valuation by Mar 31, 2027

Releases open-source world model code by Dec 31, 2026

Headcount exceeds 150 employees by Dec 31, 2026

Announces revenue partnership beyond Nabla by Sep 30, 2026

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Aug 19, 2025
Aug 19, 2025
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Palihapitiya Seeks $250 Million for ‘American Exceptionalism’ SPAC
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1 year ago

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Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

Will Euclid space telescope lower my credence in the standard model of cosmology?

Yann LeCun's AMI (props)

Latest stories

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