SPAC News

Palihapitiya Seeks $250 Million for ‘American Exceptionalism’ SPAC

7 months ago

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Feb 7, 6:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

2%chance

174157604

OptionVotes

YES

8762

239

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.14%chance

86132293

OptionVotes

YES

2744

902

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Mar 18, 12:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11.2%chance

14726461

OptionVotes

YES

5066

344

Will SpaceX IPO before the end of 2026?

May 2, 6:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

78.4%chance

5625334

OptionVotes

YES

14467

7761

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3321894

OptionProbability

>= 2032

2029

2028

2030

2031

Before 2027

2027

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.49%chance

2513090

OptionVotes

YES

13201

7571

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.72%chance

255089

OptionVotes

YES

5187

5054

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Nov 9, 5:02 AMJan 2, 5:01 AM

163510

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2027

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Dec 15, 6:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.36%chance

483433

OptionVotes

YES

1007

880

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

Sep 4, 7:26 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.32%chance

323000

OptionVotes

YES

1022

976

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Apr 14, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52460

OptionProbability

Acquired by, or merged into, a (non-SPAC) public company

Going public (e.g. IPO, SPAC, Direct listing)

Other

Bankruptcy or going out of business

None of the other options happen by 2060

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Feb 11, 7:17 PMFeb 18, 11:59 PM

51.25%chance

331312

OptionVotes

YES

1075

906

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Aug 19, 2025
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Palihapitiya Seeks $250 Million for ‘American Exceptionalism’ SPAC
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7 months ago

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Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Will SpaceX IPO before the end of 2026?

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Will there be another spaceflight-related death by 2030?

Latest stories

Join our channels

WhatsApp

Telegram