SPAC News

Palihapitiya Seeks $250 Million for ‘American Exceptionalism’ SPAC

10 months ago

Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Apr 25, 3:04 AMDec 31, 2:00 PM

6%chance

125234855

OptionVotes

YES

4062

893

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Feb 7, 6:16 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

3%chance

175158298

OptionVotes

YES

6908

285

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Jul 13, 5:38 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.1%chance

88132314

OptionVotes

YES

2739

903

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

Mar 18, 12:27 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.65%chance

15127192

OptionVotes

YES

4827

377

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

Jan 9, 3:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3722715

OptionProbability

>= 2032

2029

2028

2030

2031

Before 2027

2027

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.1%chance

4916609

OptionVotes

YES

10246

3968

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

Jan 17, 12:00 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.1%chance

2613586

OptionVotes

YES

12755

7836

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Nov 9, 5:02 AMJan 2, 5:01 AM

166460

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2027

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Dec 15, 6:11 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

31.36%chance

483433

OptionVotes

YES

1007

880

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

Sep 4, 7:26 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.32%chance

323000

OptionVotes

YES

1022

976

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Apr 14, 7:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

52960

OptionProbability

Acquired by, or merged into, a (non-SPAC) public company

Going public (e.g. IPO, SPAC, Direct listing)

Other

None of the other options happen by 2060

Bankruptcy or going out of business

Yann LeCun's AMI (props)

Mar 10, 8:36 PMMar 10, 8:36 PM

3260

OptionProbability

Headcount exceeds 150 employees by Dec 31, 2026

AMI goes public by Dec 31, 2030, through IPO, SPAC, RTO, or any other mechanism on any exchange

Announces revenue partnership beyond Nabla by Sep 30, 2026

Raises next funding round above $5B valuation by Mar 31, 2027

Releases open-source world model code by Dec 31, 2026

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Palihapitiya Seeks $250 Million for ‘American Exceptionalism’ SPAC
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10 months ago

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Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?

Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?

Will any spaceship exceed 10% of the speed of light relative to its planet of origin before 9999?

Will SpaceX land anything on Mars by 2030?

When will SpaceX land on the moon?

[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Will there be a larger amount of mass intentionally sent “downhill” to Earth from space than “uphill” in 2050?

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Will anyone die in space before 2030?

Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?

What's the future outcome for Mixpanel, the company?

Yann LeCun's AMI (props)

Latest stories

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