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Top stories

ULA’s Vulcan Delivers First Space Force Mission to Geosynchronous Orbit

ULA’s Vulcan Delivers First Space Force Mission to Geosynchronous Orbit

Authors

73

9 months ago

Prediction markets for Space Force

First to land humans on the moon again?

Jan 31, 2:00 AMDec 1, 4:59 AM

586857

OptionProbability

Spacex

China

NASA

Blue Origin

Other

US Space Force

Japan

Russia

37

35

20

5

2

0

0

0

Where will the first crewed Starship landing happen?

Dec 16, 4:52 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81374

OptionProbability

Luna (Earth's Moon)

Cape Canaveral, Florida (any pad)

Boca Chica, Texas, Pad A (east pad)

Boca Chica, Texas, Pab B (west pad)

Vandenberg Space Force Base, California (any pad)

Ocean platform (any site)

Other

Mars

65

13

6

6

3

3

3

2

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2030?

Oct 19, 2:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

3.14%chance

6636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

652

37

US Space Force combat casualty during 2026?

Mar 9, 3:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

11586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

397

25

Police force in space any time through 2033

Sep 19, 5:03 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8.85%chance

12346

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1282

944

Will the United States Space Force suffer their first death of a guardian on duty before the end of 2027?

Jul 4, 1:19 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24%chance

16293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

178

56

Will the US federal government pass and enforce a “national bathroom bill” or equivalent for gendered sports before 2029

Nov 10, 4:23 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

85.54%chance

6292

OptionVotes

NO

YES

243

41

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2035?

Oct 19, 2:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

9.6%chance

6231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

28

Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation

Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.98%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Will practical liquid breathing be demonstrated before 2040?

May 14, 7:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

73.29%chance

473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

38

Will Space Force get its own service academy by 2030?

Sep 1, 3:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.45%chance

255

OptionVotes

NO

YES

144

69

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2040?

Oct 19, 2:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

57%chance

431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

58

43

Latest stories

Latest stories

Aug 13, 2025
Aug 13, 2025
Space
Science
ULA’s Vulcan Delivers First Space Force Mission to Geosynchronous Orbit
Authors
73
9 months ago

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