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Prediction markets for Stargate
Will all 500 billion dollars from Project Stargate actually get invested within four years?
Jan 22, 3:37 AMJan 29, 4:59 AM
26.24%chance
589801
OptionVotes
6341
4559
How much money from Project Stargate will actually get invested within four years?
Jan 23, 12:53 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM
334961
OptionProbability
45
16
15
8
8
8
1
Stargate Project to add a new major technology partner by EOY?
Jan 22, 12:43 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM
62.26%chance
122844
OptionVotes
1174
172
Will the Chinese government announce a equivalent AI project to Stargate in 2025
Jan 22, 4:01 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.78%chance
212507
OptionVotes
1500
667
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.58%chance
131631
OptionVotes
1965
509
OptionVotes
1570
637
OptionVotes
1282
780
Will Stargate be the US version of the Chinese Social Credit System (社会信用体系) by the end of 2028?
Jan 21, 7:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
7.05%chance
11384
OptionVotes
363
28
Will "Quotes from the Stargate press conference" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
Jan 22, 12:58 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM
4.78%chance
1175
OptionVotes
275
85
Will a new live-action Stargate movie/TV-series start filming before Stargate invests $500B in AI?
Jan 23, 10:26 AMJan 30, 10:59 PM
72.59%chance
563
OptionVotes
163
61
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