STAT News
Top stories
Prediction markets for STAT
OptionProbability
23
18
13
10
8
8
3
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionProbability
43
14
10
8
3
3
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will any German State Prime Minister after a 2026 election be elected with AfD support?
Dec 7, 7:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
72.87%chance
6345691
OptionVotes
16390
6101
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
65.82%chance
10045304
OptionVotes
1287
787
Will there be 50 states in the union by the end of 2036?
Jul 3, 3:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
53.3%chance
1614186
OptionVotes
11095
8929
US city, county or state is renamed, min pop 250k, by mid 2028
Jul 26, 7:15 PMAug 1, 6:59 AM
22.11%chance
910947
OptionVotes
18772
5327
Would an AI be capable of constructing a non-brute, ultraweak proof of chess for this board state by 2030?
Jun 26, 8:30 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM
47.84%chance
125581
OptionVotes
10661
9352
Will The Boring Company's Vegas Loop have 50+ operational stations before 2030?
Oct 5, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
34.23%chance
84255
OptionVotes
13861
7215
Manifold stats graph looks promising again before 2027?
Dec 13, 1:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
29.27%chance
241519
OptionVotes
1554
643
Which of these Team Fortress 2 weapons will have their stats adjusted before 2029?
Nov 17, 4:38 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7614
OptionProbability
50
50
50
50
41
40
39
39
39
39
39
39
35
31
29
29
Will the Cleaner's Carbine in Team Fortress 2 get a significant stat adjustment before 2030?
Nov 10, 7:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
32.87%chance
469
OptionVotes
143
70
OptionProbability
50
8
8
5
4
4
3
3
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
Latest stories
Latest stories